Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Kvik Halden FK vs Mjondalen

Team pages: Kvik Halden FK · Mjondalen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Kvik Halden FK1.63

Mjondalen1.66

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Kvik Halden FK Draw Mjondalen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kvik Halden FK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWDWWLW

Mjondalen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWWWL

Head-to-head

Kvik Halden FK 0–1–1 Mjondalen (2 last)

Mjondalen3-3Kvik Halden FK
Mjondalen3-1Kvik Halden FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kvik Halden FK 1516 · Mjondalen 1552

	Kvik Halden FK	Draw	Mjondalen
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kvik Halden FK	Mjondalen
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.5	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.60

22.35

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.94

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.47
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.60 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +1’	2.45	3.60	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +1’	2.52	3.46	2.55
20:29 +2’	2.47▼	3.46	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kvik Halden FK 0–1–1 Mjondalen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Mjondalen	3-3 HT 2-1	Kvik Halden FK
24/05/17 Norway Cup	Mjondalen	3-1 HT 1-0	Kvik Halden FK

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	14	10	2	2	28	15	32
2	Kvik Halden FK	14	8	3	3	27	18	27
3	Brattvåg	14	8	2	4	26	15	26
4	Mjondalen	14	8	2	4	27	19	26
5	Bjarg	14	8	1	5	25	20	25
6	Notodden	14	7	3	4	21	11	24
7	Træff	14	6	4	4	27	23	22
8	Sotra	14	6	3	5	27	14	21
9	Pors Grenland	14	5	4	5	16	18	19
10	Arendal	14	3	5	6	18	23	14
11	Sandviken	14	4	2	8	21	32	14
12	Lysekloster	14	3	5	6	17	28	14
13	Vidar	14	1	3	10	13	37	6
14	Eik Tønsberg	14	1	1	12	16	36	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kvik Halden FK	Mjondalen
Sandviken	5-4 W	4-0 W
Træff	0-1 L	2-2 D
Vidar	4-2 W	2-0 W
Notodden	1-1 D	0-1 L
Brattvåg	0-2 L	5-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mjondalen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kvik Halden FK

LDDLWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	3-3	5-4	8	5	W
26/07	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-1	14	5	L
27/06	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	4-2	7	4	W
20/06	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
13/06	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
31/05	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
23/05	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	1-2	10	4	L
16/05	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/05	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
02/05	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-2	3	3	L

Mjondalen

DWWWLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
25/07	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	5-3	–	–	W
27/06	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
20/06	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
13/06	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	3-3	5	4	D
31/05	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
23/05	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
16/05	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-1	6	7	W
10/05	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
03/05	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kvik Halden FK vs Mjondalen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mjondalen win (38%). Probabilities: Kvik Halden FK 37%, draw 25%, Mjondalen 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kvik Halden FK vs Mjondalen?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Kvik Halden FK 1.63 · Mjondalen 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kvik Halden FK vs Mjondalen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.