Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Lysekloster vs Træff

Team pages: Lysekloster · Træff

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Lysekloster1.67

Træff1.75

1X2

36% 24% 40%

Lysekloster Draw Træff

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Lysekloster 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Træff 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDLLLW

Head-to-head

Lysekloster 0–1–2 Træff (3 last)

Træff4-0Lysekloster
Lysekloster1-1Træff
Træff2-1Lysekloster

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lysekloster 1403 · Træff 1492

	Lysekloster	Draw	Træff
Our model	36%	24%	39%
Market	36%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Træff (rating 1403 vs 1492).
H2H favours Træff: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lysekloster	Træff
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.59 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.85
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +11’	2.45	3.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +5’	2.59	3.85	2.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lysekloster 0–1–2 Træff

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Træff	4-0 HT 2-0	Lysekloster
28/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Lysekloster	1-1 HT 0-0	Træff
11/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Træff	2-1 HT 0-1	Lysekloster

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	23	16	5	2	49	23	53
2	Mjondalen	24	16	2	6	47	29	50
3	Brattvåg	23	15	3	5	50	29	48
4	Bjarg	23	15	2	6	52	30	47
5	Sotra	23	13	3	7	50	25	42
6	Notodden	24	10	5	9	36	29	35
7	Kvik Halden FK	24	10	4	10	34	32	34
8	Træff	23	9	6	8	37	44	33
9	Arendal	24	8	6	10	35	40	30
10	Pors Grenland	24	8	5	11	32	35	29
11	Sandviken	24	7	4	13	34	49	25
12	Lysekloster	23	4	6	13	29	49	18
13	Vidar	24	3	4	17	23	63	13
14	Eik Tønsberg	24	3	1	20	25	56	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lysekloster	Træff
Eik Tønsberg	3-1 W	1-0 W
Jerv	3-3 D	3-2 W
Sandviken	2-3 L	1-0 W
Pors Grenland	0-2 L	3-2 W
Mjondalen	2-3 L	0-4 L
Notodden	0-3 L	1-1 D
Kvik Halden FK	0-1 L	0-4 L
Bjarg	0-3 L	1-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lysekloster

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
04/10	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	3-3	3	3	D
26/09	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
20/09	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
06/09	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
30/08	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-2	8	0	L
15/08	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
09/08	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
01/08	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Træff

WWLDWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-4	5	5	L
27/09	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
20/09	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-4	1-6	4	3	L
13/09	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
30/08	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
02/08	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-2	3-2	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lysekloster vs Træff?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Træff win (40%). Probabilities: Lysekloster 36%, draw 24%, Træff 40%.

How many goals are expected in Lysekloster vs Træff?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Lysekloster 1.67 · Træff 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lysekloster vs Træff?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.