Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: Træff vs Arendal

Team pages: Træff · Arendal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Træff1.85

Arendal1.76

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Træff Draw Arendal

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Træff 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWDLLLWD

Arendal 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Træff 0–2–3 Arendal (5 last)

Arendal3-1Træff
Træff1-1Arendal
Arendal1-0Træff
Arendal4-0Træff
Træff2-2Arendal

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arendal (rating 1468 vs 1510).
H2H favours Arendal: 3-2-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Træff	Arendal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.2	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.99

Under 3.51.83

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.11 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.25
X	3.80 → 4.37▲	Pinn 4.37
2	2.82 → 2.47▼	Pinn 2.47

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +158’	2.11	3.80	2.82
11:00 +6’	2.13▲	3.87▲	2.86▲
12:04	2.13	3.90▲	2.83▼
12:59 +40’	2.25▲	4.37▲	2.47▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Træff 0–2–3 Arendal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Arendal	3-1 HT 1-1	Træff
21/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Træff	1-1 HT 0-1	Arendal
27/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Arendal	1-0 HT 0-0	Træff
29/10/23 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Arendal	4-0 HT 1-0	Træff
02/07/23 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Træff	2-2 HT 0-0	Arendal

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	24	17	5	2	53	26	56
2	Brattvåg	25	16	3	6	55	34	51
3	Bjarg	24	16	2	6	56	31	50
4	Mjondalen	25	16	2	7	48	33	50
5	Sotra	25	14	3	8	58	31	45
6	Notodden	25	10	5	10	38	34	35
7	Kvik Halden FK	25	10	4	11	34	35	34
8	Træff	24	9	7	8	40	47	34
9	Pors Grenland	25	8	6	11	32	35	30
10	Arendal	24	8	6	10	35	40	30
11	Sandviken	25	7	5	13	34	49	26
12	Lysekloster	25	5	7	13	34	52	22
13	Eik Tønsberg	25	4	1	20	28	56	13
14	Vidar	25	3	4	18	23	65	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Træff	Arendal
Lysekloster	3-3 D	2-1 W
Sandviken	1-0 W	0-1 L
Kvik Halden FK	0-4 L	2-0 W
Bjarg	1-6 L	0-4 L
Notodden	1-1 D	1-4 L
Pors Grenland	3-2 W	2-1 W
Vidar	2-2 D	3-1 W
Eik Tønsberg	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Arendal (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Træff

WLDWDLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	3-3	12	4	D
11/10	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-4	5	5	L
27/09	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
20/09	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-4	1-6	4	3	L
13/09	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
30/08	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	8	4	W

Arendal

WWWLWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	3-0	3-0	2	4	W
10/10	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
04/10	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
27/09	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
20/09	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	1-4	7	1	L
13/09	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/09	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	0-4	0	2	L
30/08	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
15/08	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	3-1	8	2	W
08/08	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Træff vs Arendal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Træff win (40%). Probabilities: Træff 40%, draw 24%, Arendal 36%.

How many goals are expected in Træff vs Arendal?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Træff 1.85 · Arendal 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Træff vs Arendal?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.