Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 25/10, 16:30

Prediction: Bjarg vs Jerv

Team pages: Bjarg · Jerv

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Bjarg1.83
Jerv1.71
1X2
39% 27% 34%
Bjarg Draw Jerv
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bjarg 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWWWWW
Jerv 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWDDW
Head-to-head
Bjarg 0–1 Jerv (1 last)
  • Jerv3-1Bjarg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bjarg 1584 · Jerv 1585
BjargDrawJerv
Our model41%24%36%
Market38%29%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BjargJerv
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 1.12.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.61 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 6.12.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.12.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bjarg 0–0–1 Jerv

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Norway Division 2 Group 1
Jerv3-1
HT 1-1
Bjarg

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jerv 241752 532656
2 Brattvåg 251636 553451
3 Bjarg 241626 563150
4 Mjondalen 251627 483350
5 Sotra 251438 583145
6 Notodden 2510510 383435
7 Kvik Halden FK 2510411 343534
8 Træff 24978 404734
9 Pors Grenland 258611 323530
10 Arendal 248610 354030
11 Sandviken 257513 344926
12 Lysekloster 255713 345222
13 Eik Tønsberg 254120 285613
14 Vidar 253418 236513

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBjargJerv
Brattvåg 4-1 W 3-1 W
Notodden 5-2 W 1-0 W
Kvik Halden FK 3-2 W 2-0 W
Vidar 4-1 W 4-0 W
Arendal 4-0 W 2-2 D
Mjondalen 1-0 W 3-0 W
Pors Grenland 1-1 D 1-0 W
Sotra 1-3 L 4-3 W
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 1 L 7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Jerv (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bjarg

LDWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 4-1 –– W
11/10 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
3-1 5-2 82 W
03/10 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-2 3-2 24 W
27/09 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 2-0 63 W
20/09 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
4-1 6-1 63 W
12/09 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 4-1 53 W
06/09 Arendal
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 4-0 102 W
30/08 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-0 73 W
16/08 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-1 –– D
08/08 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 1-3 54 L

Jerv

WDWWWWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 4-3 54 W
10/10 Arendal
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 2-2 –– D
04/10 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 3-3 23 D
26/09 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-0 32 W
19/09 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 2-0 44 W
13/09 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 3-1 82 W
05/09 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 3-0 22 W
30/08 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-0 102 W
16/08 Sandviken
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 2-2 71 D
08/08 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 4-0 84 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bjarg vs Jerv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bjarg win (39%). Probabilities: Bjarg 39%, draw 27%, Jerv 34%.

How many goals are expected in Bjarg vs Jerv?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Bjarg 1.83 · Jerv 1.71), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bjarg vs Jerv?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.