Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Vidar vs Lysekloster

Team pages: Vidar · Lysekloster

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Vidar1.75

Lysekloster1.81

1X2

37% 22% 40%

Vidar Draw Lysekloster

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Vidar 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Lysekloster 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vidar 1–3–1 Lysekloster (5 last)

Lysekloster1-1Vidar
Lysekloster2-2Vidar
Vidar0-0Lysekloster
Lysekloster4-2Vidar
Vidar4-1Lysekloster

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vidar 1444 · Lysekloster 1426

	Vidar	Draw	Lysekloster
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	38%	21%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vidar	Lysekloster
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.6	1.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.6	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X4.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.73 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +22’	2.35	4.20	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:20 +42’	2.73	3.79	2.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidar 1–3–1 Lysekloster

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Lysekloster	1-1 HT 1-1	Vidar
23/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Lysekloster	2-2	Vidar
09/04/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Vidar	0-0 HT 0-0	Lysekloster
20/08/16 Norway Division 2 Group 3	Lysekloster	4-2 HT 3-1	Vidar
07/05/16 Norway Division 2 Group 3	Vidar	4-1 HT 0-1	Lysekloster

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	24	17	5	2	53	26	56
2	Bjarg	24	16	2	6	56	31	50
3	Mjondalen	24	16	2	6	47	29	50
4	Brattvåg	24	15	3	6	51	33	48
5	Sotra	24	13	3	8	53	29	42
6	Notodden	24	10	5	9	36	29	35
7	Kvik Halden FK	24	10	4	10	34	32	34
8	Træff	24	9	7	8	40	47	34
9	Arendal	24	8	6	10	35	40	30
10	Pors Grenland	24	8	5	11	32	35	29
11	Sandviken	24	7	4	13	34	49	25
12	Lysekloster	24	4	7	13	32	52	19
13	Vidar	24	3	4	17	23	63	13
14	Eik Tønsberg	24	3	1	20	25	56	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vidar	Lysekloster
Kvik Halden FK	2-0 W	0-1 L
Brattvåg	1-3 L	1-3 L
Pors Grenland	1-4 L	0-2 L
Mjondalen	1-3 L	2-3 L
Sandviken	1-0 W	2-3 L
Træff	2-2 D	3-3 D
Arendal	1-3 L	1-2 L
Jerv	0-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Lysekloster (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vidar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
11/10	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-3	1-3	7	2	L
03/10	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-4	4	3	L
26/09	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-3	7	5	L
19/09	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-4	8	3	L
05/09	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
30/08	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
08/08	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-4	2	4	L

Lysekloster

LLLLLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	3-3	4	4	D
11/10	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
04/10	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	3-3	3	3	D
26/09	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
20/09	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
06/09	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
30/08	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-2	8	0	L
15/08	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
09/08	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vidar vs Lysekloster?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lysekloster win (40%). Probabilities: Vidar 37%, draw 22%, Lysekloster 40%.

How many goals are expected in Vidar vs Lysekloster?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Vidar 1.75 · Lysekloster 1.81), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vidar vs Lysekloster?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.