Football · USA NWSL Women · 27/07, 01:00
Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Washington Spirit (W)1.87
Denver Summit FC (W)1.12
1X2
Washington Spirit (W)
Draw
Denver Summit FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Washington Spirit (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Denver Summit FC (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Washington Spirit (W)
0–1–0
Denver Summit FC (W)
(1 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington Spirit (W) (rating 1558 vs 1500).
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Washington Spirit (W) | Denver Summit FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 3.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 0–1–0 Denver Summit FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 USA NWSL Women | Denver Summit FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave (W) | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | Utah Royals (W) | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current (W) | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 25 |
| 7 | Angel City FC (W) | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | Orlando Pride (W) | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 20 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 11 | Bay FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 12 | Reign FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 13 | Houston Dash (W) | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Washington Spirit (W) | Denver Summit FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Houston Dash (W) | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Reign FC (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| San Diego Wave (W) | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Orlando Pride (W) | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Washington Spirit (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Club America (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Pachuca (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
Denver Summit FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/07 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington Spirit (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 54%, draw 25%, Denver Summit FC (W) 21%.
How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 1.87 · Denver Summit FC (W) 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.