Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Rælingen vs Drøbak/Frogn

Team pages: Rælingen · Drøbak/Frogn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

Rælingen2.06

Drøbak/Frogn1.84

1X2

43% 22% 35%

Rælingen Draw Drøbak/Frogn

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Rælingen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWDWWL

Drøbak/Frogn 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Rælingen 1–0 Drøbak/Frogn (1 last)

Drøbak/Frogn3-4Rælingen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rælingen 1513 · Drøbak/Frogn 1480

	Rælingen	Draw	Drøbak/Frogn
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	44%	21%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rælingen	Drøbak/Frogn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	1.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:47 +31’	2.05	4.20	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rælingen 1–0–0 Drøbak/Frogn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Drøbak/Frogn	3-4 HT 1-0	Rælingen

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	18	14	2	2	66	25	44
2	Elverum	18	12	2	4	47	27	38
3	Rade IL	18	11	2	5	64	32	35
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	18	10	2	6	25	14	32
5	Lyn 1896 II	17	9	2	6	44	38	29
6	Ørn Horten	17	8	4	5	32	26	28
7	Rælingen	18	8	3	7	35	43	27
8	Sandefjord 2	18	8	1	9	46	40	25
9	Oppsal	18	7	3	8	27	27	24
10	Drøbak/Frogn	17	6	4	7	31	25	22
11	Fram	18	6	3	9	32	37	21
12	Sarpsborg 2	17	5	3	9	37	41	18
13	Brumunddal	18	2	3	13	19	78	9
14	Bjørkelangen	18	1	0	17	13	65	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rælingen	Drøbak/Frogn
Lillehammer	0-3 L	1-2 L
Brumunddal	4-2 W	7-1 W
Rade IL	1-1 D	2-3 L
Bjørkelangen	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Drøbak/Frogn (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rælingen

DLWLLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
30/08	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
15/08	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	4-2	–	–	W
09/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
01/08	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
25/07	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	2-4	1	3	L
27/06	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
20/06	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-1	9	2	W
13/06	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-5	2-7	1	1	L
31/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Drøbak/Frogn

WDLDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-1	1	4	W
30/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
15/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
10/08	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
01/08	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
25/07	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	7-1	8	2	W
27/06	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
13/06	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/05	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rælingen vs Drøbak/Frogn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rælingen win (43%). Probabilities: Rælingen 43%, draw 22%, Drøbak/Frogn 35%.

How many goals are expected in Rælingen vs Drøbak/Frogn?

The model expects 3.91 goals (Rælingen 2.06 · Drøbak/Frogn 1.84), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rælingen vs Drøbak/Frogn?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.