Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 29/08, 15:30

Prediction: NTNUI vs Herd

Team pages: NTNUI · Herd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

NTNUI1.45

Herd1.9

1X2

29% 23% 47%

NTNUI Draw Herd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NTNUI 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDLDL

Herd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDLLLW

Head-to-head

NTNUI 0–1–0 Herd (1 last)

Herd2-2NTNUI

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NTNUI 1443 · Herd 1502

	NTNUI	Draw	Herd
Our model	29%	24%	47%
Market	29%	23%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herd (rating 1443 vs 1502).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NTNUI	Herd
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.4	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.90

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +7’	3.00	3.90	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NTNUI 0–1–0 Herd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Herd	2-2 HT 0-2	NTNUI

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	16	10	3	3	40	18	33
2	Melhus	16	9	5	2	43	21	32
3	Strindheim	16	9	3	4	41	27	30
4	Herd	16	8	3	5	40	24	27
5	Rosenborg 2	16	7	4	5	34	26	25
6	Spjelkavik	16	6	4	6	31	31	22
7	Molde 2	16	6	4	6	46	48	22
8	Byåsen	16	6	4	6	31	34	22
9	Kvik Trondheim	16	6	3	7	31	36	21
10	Ranheim 2	16	5	4	7	40	55	19
11	Aalesunds FK 2	16	5	1	10	29	45	16
12	NTNUI	16	3	6	7	20	34	15
13	Nardo	16	4	2	10	29	38	14
14	Orkla	16	4	2	10	29	47	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NTNUI	Herd
Ranheim 2	1-4 L	9-0 W
Nardo	0-2 L	4-1 W
Aalesunds FK 2	0-1 L	0-3 L
Kvik Trondheim	4-3 W	5-1 W
Volda	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Herd (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NTNUI

LWLWLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
08/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
05/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	2	L
27/06	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-2	9	2	D
20/06	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
13/06	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
03/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	4-3	10	7	W
30/05	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
21/05	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
14/05	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-5	6	4	L

Herd

WLDWWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	9-0	6	2	W
10/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
31/07	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
25/07	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
27/06	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	2-2	4	2	D
20/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
13/06	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-1	7	5	W
30/05	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
26/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	14	9	L
16/05	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NTNUI vs Herd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Herd win (47%). Probabilities: NTNUI 29%, draw 23%, Herd 47%.

How many goals are expected in NTNUI vs Herd?

The model expects 3.35 goals (NTNUI 1.45 · Herd 1.9), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NTNUI vs Herd?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.