Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 05/09, 14:00

Prediction: Byåsen vs Strindheim

Team pages: Byåsen · Strindheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

Byåsen1.78

Strindheim2.28

1X2

30% 21% 49%

Byåsen Draw Strindheim

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Byåsen 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLDDW

Strindheim 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Byåsen 4–2 Strindheim (6 last)

Strindheim1-3Byåsen
Byåsen0-2Strindheim
Strindheim2-1Byåsen
Strindheim1-2Byåsen
Byåsen2-0Strindheim
Strindheim2-4Byåsen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Byåsen 1514 · Strindheim 1539

	Byåsen	Draw	Strindheim
Our model	30%	21%	49%
Market	30%	21%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Byåsen: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Byåsen	Strindheim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	2.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	3.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.20

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +4’	3.00	4.20	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Byåsen 4–0–2 Strindheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Strindheim	1-3 HT 0-2	Byåsen
05/08/23 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Byåsen	0-2 HT 0-1	Strindheim
29/05/23 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strindheim	2-1 HT 2-0	Byåsen
27/03/23 Europe Friendlies	Strindheim	1-2 HT 1-0	Byåsen
27/08/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Byåsen	2-0 HT 2-0	Strindheim
30/04/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strindheim	2-4 HT 1-3	Byåsen

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	17	11	3	3	46	18	36
2	Strindheim	17	10	3	4	42	27	33
3	Melhus	17	9	5	3	43	22	32
4	Herd	17	8	3	6	41	26	27
5	Rosenborg 2	16	7	4	5	34	26	25
6	Spjelkavik	16	6	4	6	31	31	22
7	Molde 2	16	6	4	6	46	48	22
8	Byåsen	16	6	4	6	31	34	22
9	Kvik Trondheim	17	6	3	8	31	42	21
10	Ranheim 2	16	5	4	7	40	55	19
11	NTNUI	17	4	6	7	22	35	18
12	Aalesunds FK 2	16	5	1	10	29	45	16
13	Nardo	16	4	2	10	29	38	14
14	Orkla	16	4	2	10	29	47	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Byåsen	Strindheim
Rosenborg 2	2-1 W	1-1 D
NTNUI	0-0 D	4-0 W
Spjelkavik	2-3 L	4-0 W
Molde 2	6-6 D	4-2 W
Aalesunds FK 2	2-1 W	2-0 W
Melhus	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Strindheim (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Byåsen

LLWLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
15/08	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
01/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	2-3	9	3	L
25/07	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	6-6	–	–	D
27/06	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-1	9	2	W
20/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	2-3	2	4	L
14/06	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-2	3	8	W
30/05	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
22/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-2	8	6	L

Strindheim

WLLWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	11	0	W
26/07	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/06	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
21/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
13/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
31/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
25/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Byåsen vs Strindheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Strindheim win (49%). Probabilities: Byåsen 30%, draw 21%, Strindheim 49%.

How many goals are expected in Byåsen vs Strindheim?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Byåsen 1.78 · Strindheim 2.28), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Byåsen vs Strindheim?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.