Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 31/08, 18:30

Prediction: Ranheim 2 vs Orkla

Team pages: Ranheim 2 · Orkla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.43Total

Ranheim 22.21

Orkla2.21

1X2

39% 22% 39%

Ranheim 2 Draw Orkla

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Ranheim 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWLWLL

Orkla 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Ranheim 2 1–2–1 Orkla (4 last)

Orkla2-1Ranheim 2
Orkla0-2Ranheim 2
Orkla1-1Ranheim 2
Ranheim 22-2Orkla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ranheim 2 1483 · Orkla 1422

	Ranheim 2	Draw	Orkla
Our model	40%	21%	40%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 4.43 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ranheim 2 (rating 1483 vs 1422).
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ranheim 2	Orkla
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 3.5	2.1 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.80

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 5.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:02 +6’	2.35	3.80	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ranheim 2 1–2–1 Orkla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Orkla	2-1 HT 1-1	Ranheim 2
30/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Orkla	0-2 HT 0-0	Ranheim 2
02/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Orkla	1-1 HT 1-1	Ranheim 2
24/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Ranheim 2	2-2 HT 1-0	Orkla

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	16	10	3	3	40	18	33
2	Melhus	16	9	5	2	43	21	32
3	Strindheim	16	9	3	4	41	27	30
4	Herd	16	8	3	5	40	24	27
5	Rosenborg 2	16	7	4	5	34	26	25
6	Spjelkavik	16	6	4	6	31	31	22
7	Molde 2	16	6	4	6	46	48	22
8	Byåsen	16	6	4	6	31	34	22
9	Kvik Trondheim	16	6	3	7	31	36	21
10	Ranheim 2	16	5	4	7	40	55	19
11	Aalesunds FK 2	16	5	1	10	29	45	16
12	NTNUI	16	3	6	7	20	34	15
13	Nardo	16	4	2	10	29	38	14
14	Orkla	16	4	2	10	29	47	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ranheim 2	Orkla
Rosenborg 2	1-7 L	1-2 L
NTNUI	4-1 W	5-1 W
Volda	0-7 L	2-5 L
Aalesunds FK 2	5-2 W	2-4 L
Kvik Trondheim	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Orkla (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ranheim 2

WLDDWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-9	8	2	L
10/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	1-7	5	2	L
05/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	4-1	3	2	W
27/07	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-6	0-7	4	1	L
27/06	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-3	5-3	–	–	W
22/06	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-1	5-2	6	2	W
15/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
30/05	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
21/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
15/05	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-2	1	6	W

Orkla

WLDLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	2-5	–	–	L
08/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-5	3-8	3	3	L
03/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
27/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	3-5	–	–	L
20/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
13/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	2-5	–	–	L
30/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
22/05	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
14/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	5-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ranheim 2 vs Orkla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ranheim 2 win (39%). Probabilities: Ranheim 2 39%, draw 22%, Orkla 39%.

How many goals are expected in Ranheim 2 vs Orkla?

The model expects 4.43 goals (Ranheim 2 2.21 · Orkla 2.21), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ranheim 2 vs Orkla?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.