Prediction: Sarpsborg 2 vs Lillehammer
Team pages: Sarpsborg 2 · Lillehammer
- Lillehammer6-1Sarpsborg 2
| Sarpsborg 2 | Draw | Lillehammer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| Market | 32% | 20% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillehammer (rating 1489 vs 1602).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sarpsborg 2 | Lillehammer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 2.1 | 3.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.2 | 3.5 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarpsborg 2 0–0–1 Lillehammer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillehammer | 6-1 HT 1-1 | Sarpsborg 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 66 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Elverum | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | Rade IL | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 32 | 35 |
| 4 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Lyn 1896 II | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 42 | 29 |
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 28 |
| 7 | Rælingen | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 43 | 27 |
| 8 | Drøbak/Frogn | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 25 |
| 9 | Sandefjord 2 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 40 | 25 |
| 10 | Oppsal | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 24 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 2 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 44 | 21 |
| 12 | Fram | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 21 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 78 | 9 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 18 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | 65 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sarpsborg 2 | Lillehammer |
|---|---|---|
| Rade IL | 3-2 W | 8-1 W |
| Bjørkelangen | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lillehammer (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarpsborg 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
4-0 | 11-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/06 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Lillehammer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-4 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/08 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 5-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
7-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarpsborg 2 vs Lillehammer?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lillehammer win (48%). Probabilities: Sarpsborg 2 32%, draw 20%, Lillehammer 48%.
How many goals are expected in Sarpsborg 2 vs Lillehammer?
The model expects 4.41 goals (Sarpsborg 2 1.98 · Lillehammer 2.43), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 2 vs Lillehammer?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.