Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Melhus vs Spjelkavik

Team pages: Melhus · Spjelkavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Melhus2.22

Spjelkavik1.53

1X2

53% 22% 26%

Melhus Draw Spjelkavik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Melhus 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLWLL

Spjelkavik 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Melhus 1–1–2 Spjelkavik (4 last)

Spjelkavik0-0Melhus
Melhus3-2Spjelkavik
Spjelkavik1-0Melhus
Spjelkavik2-1Melhus

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melhus (rating 1495 vs 1446).
H2H favours Spjelkavik: 2-1-1.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Melhus	Spjelkavik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	2 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	3.3 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.79

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.47 → 1.47	Pinn 1.47
X	4.53 → 4.53	Pinn 4.53
2	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.40

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +90’	1.47	4.53	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Melhus 1–1–2 Spjelkavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Spjelkavik	0-0 HT 0-0	Melhus
27/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Melhus	3-2 HT 2-0	Spjelkavik
31/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Spjelkavik	1-0 HT 0-0	Melhus
18/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Spjelkavik	2-1 HT 1-1	Melhus

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	20	13	4	3	52	22	43
2	Strindheim	20	12	4	4	47	30	40
3	Melhus	20	10	5	5	48	26	35
4	Byåsen	20	10	3	7	47	39	33
5	Rosenborg 2	21	9	4	8	49	36	31
6	Molde 2	20	8	5	7	55	57	29
7	Herd	20	8	4	8	45	38	28
8	Spjelkavik	20	7	4	9	38	43	25
9	Nardo	19	7	2	10	42	43	23
10	Ranheim 2	20	6	5	9	52	66	23
11	NTNUI	20	5	6	9	29	45	21
12	Kvik Trondheim	20	6	3	11	31	52	21
13	Orkla	20	5	5	10	39	55	20
14	Aalesunds FK 2	20	6	2	12	37	59	20

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Melhus	Spjelkavik
Molde 2	0-1 L	3-1 W
Strindheim	0-1 L	0-4 L
Nardo	3-1 W	2-4 L
Orkla	8-3 W	5-2 W
Rosenborg 2	1-1 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Melhus (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melhus

DLWDWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
05/09	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-1	4	1	W
30/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
08/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-3	8-3	3	3	W
03/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/06	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
19/06	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Spjelkavik

LLWWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-4	6	1	L
14/09	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	2-3	10	3	L
05/09	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-4	11	2	L
31/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
15/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	5-2	–	–	W
08/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
01/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
25/07	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
20/06	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	15	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melhus vs Spjelkavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Melhus win (53%). Probabilities: Melhus 53%, draw 22%, Spjelkavik 26%.

How many goals are expected in Melhus vs Spjelkavik?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Melhus 2.22 · Spjelkavik 1.53), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Melhus vs Spjelkavik?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.