Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Herd vs Kvik Trondheim

Team pages: Herd · Kvik Trondheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

Herd2.58

Kvik Trondheim1.83

1X2

54% 20% 27%

Herd Draw Kvik Trondheim

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Herd 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Kvik Trondheim 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Herd 1–0 Kvik Trondheim (1 last)

Kvik Trondheim1-5Herd

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herd (rating 1459 vs 1402).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herd	Kvik Trondheim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.3	0.9 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.76

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.46 → 1.46	Pinn 1.46
X	4.55 → 4.55	Pinn 4.55
2	4.51 → 4.51	Pinn 4.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:45 +57’	1.46	4.55	4.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Herd 1–0–0 Kvik Trondheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Kvik Trondheim	1-5 HT 1-2	Herd

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	20	13	4	3	52	22	43
2	Strindheim	20	12	4	4	47	30	40
3	Melhus	20	10	5	5	48	26	35
4	Byåsen	20	10	3	7	47	39	33
5	Rosenborg 2	21	9	4	8	49	36	31
6	Molde 2	20	8	5	7	55	57	29
7	Herd	20	8	4	8	45	38	28
8	Spjelkavik	20	7	4	9	38	43	25
9	Nardo	19	7	2	10	42	43	23
10	Ranheim 2	20	6	5	9	52	66	23
11	NTNUI	20	5	6	9	29	45	21
12	Kvik Trondheim	20	6	3	11	31	52	21
13	Orkla	20	5	5	10	39	55	20
14	Aalesunds FK 2	20	6	2	12	37	59	20

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herd	Kvik Trondheim
Melhus	1-4 L	1-1 D
NTNUI	1-2 L	0-2 L
Ranheim 2	9-0 W	0-7 L
Aalesunds FK 2	0-3 L	3-2 W
Volda	0-1 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Herd (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-5	1-6	6	2	L
12/09	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
05/09	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-4	8	1	L
30/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
15/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	9-0	6	2	W
10/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
31/07	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
25/07	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
27/06	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	2-2	4	2	D
20/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-1	–	–	W

Kvik Trondheim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	11	6	L
12/09	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
07/09	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-7	3	2	L
30/08	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
17/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-2	9	4	W
09/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	3-6	–	–	L
03/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
20/06	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
15/06	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herd vs Kvik Trondheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Herd win (54%). Probabilities: Herd 54%, draw 20%, Kvik Trondheim 27%.

How many goals are expected in Herd vs Kvik Trondheim?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Herd 2.58 · Kvik Trondheim 1.83), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Herd vs Kvik Trondheim?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.