Prediction: Ørn Horten vs Lillehammer
Team pages: Ørn Horten · Lillehammer
- Lillehammer3-2Ørn Horten
| Ørn Horten | Draw | Lillehammer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| Market | 23% | 20% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillehammer (rating 1498 vs 1586).
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ørn Horten | Lillehammer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.6 | 3.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.6 | 4 / 8.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ørn Horten 0–0–1 Lillehammer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillehammer | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Ørn Horten |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 83 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Elverum | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 61 | 36 | 44 |
| 3 | Rade IL | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 40 | 40 |
| 4 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Drøbak/Frogn | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 35 |
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 35 |
| 7 | Sandefjord 2 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 33 |
| 8 | Oppsal | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 33 |
| 9 | Lyn 1896 II | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 47 | 31 |
| 10 | Rælingen | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 54 | 31 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 2 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 53 | 28 |
| 12 | Fram | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 49 | 23 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 88 | 12 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 22 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | 87 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ørn Horten | Lillehammer |
|---|---|---|
| Oppsal | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Sarpsborg 2 | 3-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Bjørkelangen | 5-2 W | 7-1 W |
| Gjøvik-Lyn | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Elverum | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Rælingen | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lillehammer (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ørn Horten
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/09 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
4-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
Lillehammer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
5-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 15 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-4 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/08 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ørn Horten vs Lillehammer?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lillehammer win (57%). Probabilities: Ørn Horten 23%, draw 20%, Lillehammer 57%.
How many goals are expected in Ørn Horten vs Lillehammer?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Ørn Horten 1.52 · Lillehammer 2.44), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ørn Horten vs Lillehammer?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.