Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 29/08, 15:00

Prediction: Melhus vs Strindheim

Team pages: Melhus · Strindheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Melhus2.17

Strindheim1.81

1X2

46% 22% 32%

Melhus Draw Strindheim

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Melhus 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWDWW

Strindheim 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Melhus 2–4 Strindheim (6 last)

Strindheim2-1Melhus
Melhus3-1Strindheim
Strindheim2-1Melhus
Melhus1-3Strindheim
Melhus1-0Strindheim
Melhus1-6Strindheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melhus 1526 · Strindheim 1541

	Melhus	Draw	Strindheim
Our model	46%	22%	32%
Market	46%	22%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Strindheim: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Melhus	Strindheim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	2.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	3.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:33 +3’	1.95	4.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Melhus 2–0–4 Strindheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Strindheim	2-1 HT 1-0	Melhus
24/09/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Melhus	3-1 HT 1-0	Strindheim
24/05/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strindheim	2-1 HT 1-1	Melhus
19/05/22 Norway Cup	Melhus	1-3 HT 1-2	Strindheim
11/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Melhus	1-0 HT 0-0	Strindheim
04/08/19 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Melhus	1-6 HT 0-3	Strindheim

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	16	10	3	3	40	18	33
2	Melhus	16	9	5	2	43	21	32
3	Strindheim	16	9	3	4	41	27	30
4	Herd	16	8	3	5	40	24	27
5	Rosenborg 2	16	7	4	5	34	26	25
6	Spjelkavik	16	6	4	6	31	31	22
7	Molde 2	16	6	4	6	46	48	22
8	Byåsen	16	6	4	6	31	34	22
9	Kvik Trondheim	16	6	3	7	31	36	21
10	Ranheim 2	16	5	4	7	40	55	19
11	Aalesunds FK 2	16	5	1	10	29	45	16
12	NTNUI	16	3	6	7	20	34	15
13	Nardo	16	4	2	10	29	38	14
14	Orkla	16	4	2	10	29	47	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Melhus	Strindheim
Nardo	3-1 W	4-1 W
Kvik Trondheim	1-1 D	3-2 W
Rosenborg 2	1-1 D	1-1 D
Molde 2	3-0 W	4-2 W
Spjelkavik	0-0 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Strindheim (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melhus

DWWLDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
08/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-3	8-3	3	3	W
03/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/06	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
19/06	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/06	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
30/05	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/05	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
14/05	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Strindheim

WWLLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	11	0	W
26/07	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/06	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
21/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
13/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
31/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
25/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
14/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	3-2	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melhus vs Strindheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Melhus win (46%). Probabilities: Melhus 46%, draw 22%, Strindheim 32%.

How many goals are expected in Melhus vs Strindheim?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Melhus 2.17 · Strindheim 1.81), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Melhus vs Strindheim?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.