Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Sandefjord 2 vs Oppsal

Team pages: Sandefjord 2 · Oppsal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Sandefjord 22.14

Oppsal1.86

1X2

45% 21% 34%

Sandefjord 2 Draw Oppsal

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Sandefjord 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Oppsal 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sandefjord 2 0–1 Oppsal (1 last)

Oppsal4-3Sandefjord 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandefjord 2 1471 · Oppsal 1496

	Sandefjord 2	Draw	Oppsal
Our model	44%	22%	34%
Market	45%	21%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandefjord 2	Oppsal
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 2.5	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.33

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.03
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.73 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +34’	2.00	4.33	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:56 +1’	2.03	3.77	2.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 2 0–0–1 Oppsal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Oppsal	4-3 HT 1-2	Sandefjord 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	17	13	2	2	63	25	41
2	Elverum	17	12	1	4	46	26	37
3	Rade IL	17	10	2	5	62	32	32
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	17	10	2	5	25	12	32
5	Lyn 1896 II	17	9	2	6	44	38	29
6	Ørn Horten	17	8	4	5	32	26	28
7	Rælingen	17	8	3	6	35	40	27
8	Oppsal	17	7	3	7	26	25	24
9	Drøbak/Frogn	17	6	4	7	31	25	22
10	Sandefjord 2	17	7	1	9	44	39	22
11	Sarpsborg 2	17	5	3	9	37	41	18
12	Fram	17	5	3	9	28	37	18
13	Brumunddal	17	2	2	13	18	77	8
14	Bjørkelangen	17	1	0	16	13	61	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandefjord 2	Oppsal
Lyn 1896 II	3-4 L	2-2 D
Bjørkelangen	4-1 W	1-0 W
Elverum	3-5 L	0-4 L
Ørn Horten	3-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sandefjord 2 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandefjord 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-3	3-4	2	4	L
15/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
10/08	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-3	2	1	L
25/07	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-3	3-5	–	–	L
27/06	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	9	3	L
21/06	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
13/06	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	4	5	L
06/06	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	3-1	8	6	W
31/05	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-0	2	2	W

Oppsal

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
15/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
08/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
03/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
27/07	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
20/06	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
13/06	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	4-3	13	5	W
30/05	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
23/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandefjord 2 vs Oppsal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandefjord 2 win (45%). Probabilities: Sandefjord 2 45%, draw 21%, Oppsal 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sandefjord 2 vs Oppsal?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Sandefjord 2 2.14 · Oppsal 1.86), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandefjord 2 vs Oppsal?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.