Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Lillehammer vs Sandefjord 2

Team pages: Lillehammer · Sandefjord 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.48Total

Lillehammer2.67

Sandefjord 21.81

1X2

56% 19% 25%

Lillehammer Draw Sandefjord 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Lillehammer 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Sandefjord 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDWWDL

Head-to-head

Lillehammer 0–1 Sandefjord 2 (1 last)

Sandefjord 24-3Lillehammer

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillehammer (rating 1576 vs 1502).
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lillehammer	Sandefjord 2
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.9	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 9	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.78

Under 4.251.92

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.14
X	7.29 → 7.29	Pinn 7.29
2	8.97 → 8.97	Pinn 8.97

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:16 +54’	1.14	7.29	8.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillehammer 0–0–1 Sandefjord 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Sandefjord 2	4-3 HT 2-2	Lillehammer

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	23	18	2	3	84	32	56
2	Elverum	23	15	2	6	65	39	47
3	Rade IL	23	13	4	6	72	40	43
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	23	13	2	8	43	21	41
5	Drøbak/Frogn	23	11	5	7	52	32	38
6	Ørn Horten	23	10	5	8	44	36	35
7	Sandefjord 2	23	10	3	10	54	48	33
8	Oppsal	23	10	3	10	40	37	33
9	Rælingen	23	9	5	9	40	55	32
10	Lyn 1896 II	23	9	4	10	50	51	31
11	Sarpsborg 2	23	8	5	10	51	54	29
12	Fram	23	7	5	11	43	49	26
13	Brumunddal	23	3	3	17	25	92	12
14	Bjørkelangen	23	1	0	22	17	94	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lillehammer	Sandefjord 2
Ørn Horten	1-0 W	1-1 D
Oppsal	4-2 W	2-1 W
Rade IL	5-1 W	0-2 L
Bjørkelangen	7-1 W	4-1 W
Elverum	3-4 L	4-3 W
Lyn 1896 II	4-1 W	3-4 L
Gjøvik-Lyn	2-0 W	1-3 L
Drøbak/Frogn	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lillehammer (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lillehammer

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	9	8	W
03/10	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
26/09	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
19/09	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	5-1	7-1	–	–	W
12/09	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-3	1-3	15	6	L
05/09	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-4	3-4	–	–	L
17/08	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	4-1	5	2	W
08/08	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/08	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-1	7	3	W

Sandefjord 2

LLWLWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-2	7	8	L
03/10	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-2	4-3	3	3	W
21/09	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
12/09	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
31/08	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-3	3-4	2	4	L
15/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
10/08	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-3	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lillehammer vs Sandefjord 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lillehammer win (56%). Probabilities: Lillehammer 56%, draw 19%, Sandefjord 2 25%.

How many goals are expected in Lillehammer vs Sandefjord 2?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Lillehammer 2.67 · Sandefjord 2 1.81), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lillehammer vs Sandefjord 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.