Prediction: Moggill vs Logan Roos FC
Expected goals: 4.54 (Moggill 3.27 · Logan Roos FC 1.27). The model gives 76% home, 13% draw, 10% away. Under 4.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Moggill sits at 6-1-3 (W-D-L), while Logan Roos FC arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Moggill and 1 for Logan Roos FC, with 1 draw.
| Moggill | Draw | Logan Roos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moggill (rating 1534 vs 1433).
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moggill | Logan Roos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.7 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.5 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moggill 0–1–1 Logan Roos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Logan Roos FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Moggill |
| 12/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 4 | Moggill | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Logan Roos FC |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeronga Eagles FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 58 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Newmarket | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Moggill | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | AC Carina | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 23 | 30 |
| 5 | Springfield United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 34 | 29 |
| 6 | North Lakes United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 20 |
| 7 | North Brisbane FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 51 | 20 |
| 8 | Logan Roos FC | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 46 | 19 |
| 9 | University of Queensland | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 43 | 18 |
| 10 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 18 |
| 11 | Ipswich Knights | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 43 | 18 |
| 12 | North Pine | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 15 |
| 13 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 64 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moggill | Logan Roos FC |
|---|---|---|
| University of Queensland | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| North Pine | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 5-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Yeronga Eagles FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Newmarket | 0-7 L | 2-5 L |
| Ipswich Knights | 2-3 L | 4-6 L |
| North Brisbane FC | 7-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Moggill (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moggill
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Peninsula Power Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
Logan Roos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-3 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-3 | 1-8 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moggill vs Logan Roos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moggill win (76%). Probabilities: Moggill 76%, draw 13%, Logan Roos FC 10%.
How many goals are expected in Moggill vs Logan Roos FC?
The model expects 4.54 goals (Moggill 3.27 · Logan Roos FC 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Moggill vs Logan Roos FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.