Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Harstad vs Strømsgodset 2

Team pages: Harstad · Strømsgodset 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.48Total

Harstad2.69

Strømsgodset 21.79

1X2

56% 19% 25%

Harstad Draw Strømsgodset 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Harstad 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Strømsgodset 2 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Harstad 0–1–2 Strømsgodset 2 (3 last)

Strømsgodset 22-2Harstad
Strømsgodset 23-0Harstad
Harstad2-6Strømsgodset 2

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harstad (rating 1579 vs 1500).
H2H favours Strømsgodset 2: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Harstad	Strømsgodset 2
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 1.6	2.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.7	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6	1.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.81

Under 4.251.89

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.31 → 1.31	Pinn 1.31
X	5.22 → 5.22	Pinn 5.22
2	5.72 → 5.72	Pinn 5.72

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +53’	1.31	5.22	5.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Harstad 0–1–2 Strømsgodset 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strømsgodset 2	2-2 HT 2-0	Harstad
31/07/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Strømsgodset 2	3-0 HT 1-0	Harstad
18/06/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Harstad	2-6	Strømsgodset 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	25	18	2	5	61	33	56
2	Fløya	25	17	3	5	72	36	54
3	Harstad	25	15	4	6	82	40	49
4	Alta	26	14	6	6	64	41	48
5	Finnsnes IL	25	12	4	9	47	41	40
6	Skjetten	25	11	3	11	59	54	36
7	Kongsvinger 2	25	11	2	12	53	70	35
8	Strømsgodset 2	25	10	3	12	59	55	33
9	Lillestrøm 2	25	10	1	14	76	60	31
10	Fauske/Sprint	25	9	4	12	64	89	31
11	Tromso 2	25	7	6	12	49	45	27
12	Skjervøy	25	8	3	14	38	66	27
13	Bossekop	26	6	4	16	48	89	22
14	IL Ulfstind	25	4	3	18	40	93	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Harstad	Strømsgodset 2
Finnsnes IL	3-2 W	5-1 W
Alta	6-1 W	0-2 L
Fauske/Sprint	4-2 W	3-5 L
Skedsmo	2-2 D	0-1 L
Skjetten	3-1 W	5-1 W
IL Ulfstind	6-1 W	7-2 W
Fløya	3-2 W	2-4 L
Lillestrøm 2	4-3 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Harstad (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Harstad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
17/10	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	6-1	–	–	W
11/10	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	4-2	–	–	W
04/10	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
19/09	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-1	6-1	–	–	W
06/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	4-3	–	–	W

Strømsgodset 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	4-1	7-2	8	3	W
18/10	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/10	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-0	5-1	4	3	W
04/10	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-3	4	5	D
27/09	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	2-4	6	6	L
21/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
14/09	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-3	3-5	4	3	L
06/09	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	5-1	0	6	W
31/08	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	0-1	12	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harstad vs Strømsgodset 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Harstad win (56%). Probabilities: Harstad 56%, draw 19%, Strømsgodset 2 25%.

How many goals are expected in Harstad vs Strømsgodset 2?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Harstad 2.69 · Strømsgodset 2 1.79), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Harstad vs Strømsgodset 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.