Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 01/11, 12:00
Prediction: IL Ulfstind vs Tromso 2
Team pages: IL Ulfstind · Tromso 2
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
IL Ulfstind2.02
Tromso 22.37
1X2
IL Ulfstind
Draw
Tromso 2
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
IL Ulfstind
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Tromso 2
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IL Ulfstind
1–2
Tromso 2
(3 last)
- Tromso 21-3IL Ulfstind
- Tromso 24-1IL Ulfstind
- IL Ulfstind0-2Tromso 2
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tromso 2 (rating 1393 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Tromso 2: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IL Ulfstind | Tromso 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.3 | 0 / 1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IL Ulfstind 1–0–2 Tromso 2
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Tromso 2 | 1-3 HT 0-0 | IL Ulfstind |
| 13/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Tromso 2 | 4-1 HT 0-0 | IL Ulfstind |
| 01/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | IL Ulfstind | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tromso 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 56 |
| 2 | Fløya | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 72 | 36 | 54 |
| 3 | Harstad | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 82 | 40 | 49 |
| 4 | Alta | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 41 | 48 |
| 5 | Finnsnes IL | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 40 |
| 6 | Skjetten | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 59 | 54 | 36 |
| 7 | Kongsvinger 2 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 53 | 70 | 35 |
| 8 | Strømsgodset 2 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 33 |
| 9 | Lillestrøm 2 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 60 | 31 |
| 10 | Fauske/Sprint | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 64 | 89 | 31 |
| 11 | Tromso 2 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 27 |
| 12 | Skjervøy | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 66 | 27 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 89 | 22 |
| 14 | IL Ulfstind | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 93 | 15 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IL Ulfstind | Tromso 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm 2 | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Finnsnes IL | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Skedsmo | 0-7 L | 1-3 L |
| Bossekop | 3-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Harstad | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Fauske/Sprint | 1-6 L | 3-0 W |
| Kongsvinger 2 | 1-2 L | 6-0 W |
| Skjetten | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tromso 2 (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IL Ulfstind
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-4 | 2-7 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/10 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-3 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Tromso 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/09 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IL Ulfstind vs Tromso 2?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tromso 2 win (46%). Probabilities: IL Ulfstind 33%, draw 21%, Tromso 2 46%.
How many goals are expected in IL Ulfstind vs Tromso 2?
The model expects 4.39 goals (IL Ulfstind 2.02 · Tromso 2 2.37), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in IL Ulfstind vs Tromso 2?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.