Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Skjetten vs Skedsmo

Team pages: Skjetten · Skedsmo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Skjetten1.25

Skedsmo2.56

1X2

17% 18% 65%

Skjetten Draw Skedsmo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Skjetten 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLLLW

Skedsmo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDLWW

Head-to-head

Skjetten 4–2–0 Skedsmo (6 last)

Skedsmo0-1Skjetten
Skedsmo2-2Skjetten
Skjetten3-2Skedsmo
Skedsmo0-1Skjetten
Skjetten2-0Skedsmo
Skedsmo1-1Skjetten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skjetten 1502 · Skedsmo 1559

	Skjetten	Draw	Skedsmo
Our model	16%	19%	65%
Market	17%	17%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skedsmo (rating 1502 vs 1559).
H2H favours Skjetten: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skjetten	Skedsmo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.4	2.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 6.4	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X5.25

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25
X	4.75 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.73 ★
2	1.53 → 1.36▼	Pinn 1.37

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:50 +7’	4.00	4.75	1.53
21:01 +42’	4.10▲	4.75	1.50▼
00:47 +18’	5.25▲	5.25▲	1.36▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:37 +28’	4.22	5.43	1.43
01:25 +39’	4.47▲	5.58▲	1.40▼
02:58 +5’	4.69▲	5.73▲	1.37▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skjetten 4–2–0 Skedsmo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Skedsmo	0-1 HT 0-0	Skjetten
13/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Skedsmo	2-2 HT 0-1	Skjetten
08/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Skjetten	3-2 HT 1-0	Skedsmo
27/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Skedsmo	0-1 HT 0-0	Skjetten
20/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Skjetten	2-0 HT 2-0	Skedsmo
20/08/23 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Skedsmo	1-1 HT 1-0	Skjetten

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	25	18	2	5	61	33	56
2	Fløya	25	17	3	5	72	36	54
3	Harstad	25	15	4	6	82	40	49
4	Alta	26	14	6	6	64	41	48
5	Finnsnes IL	25	12	4	9	47	41	40
6	Skjetten	25	11	3	11	59	54	36
7	Kongsvinger 2	25	11	2	12	53	70	35
8	Strømsgodset 2	25	10	3	12	59	55	33
9	Lillestrøm 2	25	10	1	14	76	60	31
10	Fauske/Sprint	25	9	4	12	64	89	31
11	Tromso 2	25	7	6	12	49	45	27
12	Skjervøy	25	8	3	14	38	66	27
13	Bossekop	26	6	4	16	48	89	22
14	IL Ulfstind	25	4	3	18	40	93	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skjetten	Skedsmo
Alta	2-0 W	0-0 D
Strømsgodset 2	1-5 L	1-0 W
Kongsvinger 2	3-4 L	5-1 W
Bossekop	3-0 W	3-2 W
Skjervøy	6-1 W	2-1 W
Harstad	1-3 L	2-2 D
Tromso 2	3-2 W	3-1 W
Fløya	2-2 D	1-3 L
IL Ulfstind	2-4 L	7-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Skedsmo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skjetten

LDWLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-3	8	8	L
11/10	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-3	1-5	15	3	L
06/10	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-4	3-4	2	3	L
27/09	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-1	6-1	3	7	W
19/09	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
14/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-2	3-2	4	4	W
05/09	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-4	–	–	L

Skedsmo

WWDWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
18/10	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	3-2	–	–	W
10/10	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
04/10	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	7-0	4	1	W
19/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/09	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
06/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
16/08	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-0	0	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skjetten vs Skedsmo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Skedsmo win (65%). Probabilities: Skjetten 17%, draw 18%, Skedsmo 65%.

How many goals are expected in Skjetten vs Skedsmo?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Skjetten 1.25 · Skedsmo 2.56), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Skjetten vs Skedsmo?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.