Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 06/09, 14:00

Prediction: Lillestrøm 2 vs Bossekop

Team pages: Lillestrøm 2 · Bossekop

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.62Total

Lillestrøm 23.11

Bossekop1.51

1X2

68% 18% 14%

Lillestrøm 2 Draw Bossekop

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

3-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Lillestrøm 2 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLLLW

Bossekop 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Lillestrøm 2 3–0 Bossekop (3 last)

Bossekop1-6Lillestrøm 2
Bossekop0-2Lillestrøm 2
Lillestrøm 22-1Bossekop

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lillestrøm 2 1498 · Bossekop 1461

	Lillestrøm 2	Draw	Bossekop
Our model	69%	16%	15%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.62 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lillestrøm 2: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lillestrøm 2	Bossekop
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 2.7	2.2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 1.1	1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.2	3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.82

Under 4.51.98

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 5.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 04:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
X	5.25 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
2	4.75 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:18 +2’	1.40	5.25	4.75
00:15 +3’	1.38▼	5.25	5.00▲
04:19 +3’	1.33▼	4.75▼	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillestrøm 2 3–0–0 Bossekop

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Bossekop	1-6 HT 1-3	Lillestrøm 2
07/08/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Bossekop	0-2	Lillestrøm 2
12/06/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Lillestrøm 2	2-1	Bossekop

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	17	13	0	4	39	23	39
2	Fløya	18	10	3	5	47	30	33
3	Finnsnes IL	17	10	2	5	34	24	32
4	Harstad	17	9	3	5	56	29	30
5	Alta	17	8	5	4	42	27	29
6	Fauske/Sprint	18	7	4	7	49	60	25
7	Lillestrøm 2	17	8	0	9	51	39	24
8	Skjetten	17	7	3	7	39	36	24
9	Kongsvinger 2	17	7	2	8	34	43	23
10	Strømsgodset 2	17	6	2	9	31	36	20
11	Skjervøy	16	6	2	8	27	44	20
12	Bossekop	17	4	3	10	29	52	15
13	Tromso 2	17	3	5	9	30	37	14
14	IL Ulfstind	18	4	2	12	32	60	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lillestrøm 2	Bossekop
Finnsnes IL	1-0 W	3-2 W
Harstad	3-4 L	2-3 L
Skjetten	1-2 L	0-6 L
Kongsvinger 2	4-5 L	0-2 L
Fløya	2-3 L	2-5 L
Tromso 2	5-3 W	3-3 D
Strømsgodset 2	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lillestrøm 2 (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lillestrøm 2

WLLWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
10/08	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
03/08	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-3	4-5	2	4	L
25/07	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
28/06	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	4-0	5-3	4	2	W
20/06	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	4-0	10-1	4	6	W
14/06	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	3-4	–	–	L
30/05	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-4	2-4	6	6	L
26/05	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-1	6	1	W

Bossekop

LLDWLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/08	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	3-3	–	–	D
08/08	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
02/08	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-3	2-3	–	–	L
26/07	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	0-6	4	3	L
27/06	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
20/06	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	4-1	8-3	–	–	W
14/06	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	1-5	–	–	L
23/05	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	2-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lillestrøm 2 vs Bossekop?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lillestrøm 2 win (68%). Probabilities: Lillestrøm 2 68%, draw 18%, Bossekop 14%.

How many goals are expected in Lillestrøm 2 vs Bossekop?

The model expects 4.62 goals (Lillestrøm 2 3.11 · Bossekop 1.51), with a 51% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lillestrøm 2 vs Bossekop?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.