Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 14/09, 18:00

Prediction: Skjetten vs Tromso 2

Team pages: Skjetten · Tromso 2

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.26Total
Skjetten2.59
Tromso 21.67
1X2
57% 19% 24%
Skjetten Draw Tromso 2
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Skjetten 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDWWWWLD
Tromso 2 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLLLWWDLL
Head-to-head
Skjetten 0–1–5 Tromso 2 (6 last)
  • Tromso 21-1Skjetten
  • Skjetten2-3Tromso 2
  • Tromso 27-0Skjetten
  • Skjetten0-2Tromso 2
  • Tromso 25-1Skjetten
  • Skjetten1-2Tromso 2
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skjetten 1534 · Tromso 2 1478
SkjettenDrawTromso 2
Our model57%20%23%
Market57%19%24%
Estimated total (ours) 4.26 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skjetten (rating 1534 vs 1478).
  • H2H favours Tromso 2: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SkjettenTromso 2
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 22.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.80.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 60.3 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.33.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skjetten 015 Tromso 2

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Norway Division 3 Group 5
Tromso 21-1
HT 0-1
Skjetten
10/10/22
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Skjetten2-3
HT 0-1
Tromso 2
11/04/22
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Tromso 27-0Skjetten
07/10/19
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Skjetten0-2
HT 0-0
Tromso 2
27/07/19
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Tromso 25-1
HT 3-1
Skjetten
07/08/17
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Skjetten1-2Tromso 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Skedsmo 181314 392340
2 Harstad 191135 633036
3 Fløya 191135 523136
4 Alta 19964 442833
5 Finnsnes IL 191027 363132
6 Lillestrøm 2 18909 623927
7 Fauske/Sprint 18747 496025
8 Skjetten 17737 393624
9 Skjervøy 18738 314624
10 Strømsgodset 2 18729 363723
11 Kongsvinger 2 197210 365123
12 Bossekop 194411 306416
13 Tromso 2 183510 303814
14 IL Ulfstind 194213 336614

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSkjettenTromso 2
IL Ulfstind 2-4 L 1-3 L
Lillestrøm 2 2-1 W 3-5 L
Bossekop 6-0 W 3-3 D
Skedsmo 1-0 W 1-3 L
Alta 1-1 D 3-0 W
Harstad 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Skjetten (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skjetten

LLWDWWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Fløya
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-1 2-2 D
15/08 IL Ulfstind
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-0 2-4 L
10/08 Lillestrøm 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-0 2-1 104 W
01/08 Fauske/Sprint
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-2 5-4 W
26/07 Bossekop
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-0 6-0 33 W
26/06 Skedsmo
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 1-0 34 W
20/06 Alta
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-1 1-1 72 D
15/06 Kongsvinger 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
3-3 5-3 51 W
31/05 Fauske/Sprint
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-0 2-3 25 L
25/05 Harstad
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-1 1-2 123 L

Tromso 2

WDLLLWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Harstad
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 0-1 L
30/08 Skedsmo
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-1 1-3 15 L
17/08 Bossekop
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-0 3-3 D
08/08 Alta
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-0 3-0 W
02/08 Strømsgodset 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-0 2-0 25 W
25/07 IL Ulfstind
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 1-3 L
28/06 Lillestrøm 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-4 3-5 22 L
21/06 Skedsmo
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-1 2-3 33 L
12/06 Alta
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-1 3-3 D
01/06 Strømsgodset 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-1 4-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skjetten vs Tromso 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skjetten win (57%). Probabilities: Skjetten 57%, draw 19%, Tromso 2 24%.

How many goals are expected in Skjetten vs Tromso 2?

The model expects 4.26 goals (Skjetten 2.59 · Tromso 2 1.67), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Skjetten vs Tromso 2?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.