Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 06/09, 15:00
Prediction: Tromso 2 vs Harstad
Team pages: Tromso 2 · Harstad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.36Total
Tromso 22.15
Harstad2.21
1X2
Tromso 2
Draw
Harstad
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Tromso 2
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Harstad
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tromso 2
2–1–3
Harstad
(6 last)
- Harstad1-1Tromso 2
- Harstad0-4Tromso 2
- Tromso 22-5Harstad
- Tromso 27-1Harstad
- Harstad5-1Tromso 2
- Harstad4-1Tromso 2
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harstad (rating 1498 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Harstad: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tromso 2 | Harstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.3 | 4.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.4 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tromso 2 2–1–3 Harstad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Harstad | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tromso 2 |
| 26/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Harstad | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Tromso 2 |
| 30/03/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Tromso 2 | 2-5 HT 0-2 | Harstad |
| 21/08/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Tromso 2 | 7-1 HT 2-1 | Harstad |
| 08/05/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Harstad | 5-1 | Tromso 2 |
| 16/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Harstad | 4-1 | Tromso 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Fløya | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 30 | 33 |
| 3 | Finnsnes IL | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Harstad | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 30 |
| 5 | Alta | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 29 |
| 6 | Fauske/Sprint | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 49 | 60 | 25 |
| 7 | Lillestrøm 2 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 39 | 24 |
| 8 | Skjetten | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Kongsvinger 2 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 43 | 23 |
| 10 | Strømsgodset 2 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 20 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 | 20 |
| 12 | Bossekop | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 52 | 15 |
| 13 | Tromso 2 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 14 |
| 14 | IL Ulfstind | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 60 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tromso 2 | Harstad |
|---|---|---|
| Bossekop | 3-3 D | 3-2 W |
| Strømsgodset 2 | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| IL Ulfstind | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Lillestrøm 2 | 3-5 L | 4-3 W |
| Kongsvinger 2 | 1-2 L | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Harstad (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tromso 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Harstad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
5-0 | 10-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tromso 2 vs Harstad?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Harstad win (41%). Probabilities: Tromso 2 38%, draw 21%, Harstad 41%.
How many goals are expected in Tromso 2 vs Harstad?
The model expects 4.36 goals (Tromso 2 2.15 · Harstad 2.21), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Tromso 2 vs Harstad?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.