Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 04/10, 16:00

Prediction: Harstad vs Skedsmo

Team pages: Harstad · Skedsmo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

Harstad2.09

Skedsmo1.76

1X2

45% 22% 32%

Harstad Draw Skedsmo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Harstad 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWL

Skedsmo 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Harstad 0–1–2 Skedsmo (3 last)

Skedsmo4-2Harstad
Skedsmo0-0Harstad
Harstad1-2Skedsmo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Skedsmo: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Harstad	Skedsmo
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 1.3	2.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.86

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.57 → 2.42▼	Pinn 2.42
X	3.81 → 3.81	Pinn 3.81
2	2.12 → 2.23▲	Pinn 2.23

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:13 +26’	2.57	3.81	2.12
06:59 +80’	2.42▼	3.81	2.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Harstad 0–1–2 Skedsmo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Skedsmo	4-2 HT 2-1	Harstad
24/09/17 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Skedsmo	0-0	Harstad
11/06/17 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Harstad	1-2 HT 1-0	Skedsmo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	21	16	1	4	50	25	49
2	Fløya	22	14	3	5	64	35	45
3	Alta	22	12	6	4	56	31	42
4	Harstad	21	12	3	6	67	33	39
5	Finnsnes IL	22	11	3	8	40	35	36
6	Skjetten	21	10	3	8	52	42	33
7	Fauske/Sprint	21	9	4	8	58	68	31
8	Lillestrøm 2	21	9	0	12	68	53	27
9	Kongsvinger 2	21	8	2	11	38	58	26
10	Skjervøy	21	7	3	11	33	56	24
11	Strømsgodset 2	21	7	2	12	41	48	23
12	Tromso 2	22	5	6	11	42	42	21
13	Bossekop	22	5	4	13	35	75	19
14	IL Ulfstind	22	4	2	16	36	79	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Harstad	Skedsmo
Kongsvinger 2	1-2 L	3-1 W
Skjetten	3-1 W	0-1 L
IL Ulfstind	6-1 W	7-0 W
Tromso 2	1-0 W	3-1 W
Lillestrøm 2	4-3 W	2-1 W
Skjervøy	7-0 W	2-1 W
Fauske/Sprint	10-1 W	5-3 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Harstad

DWWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
19/09	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-1	6-1	–	–	W
06/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
08/08	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	7-0	–	–	W
02/08	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-2	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	5-0	10-1	–	–	W
27/06	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Skedsmo

LWLWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	7-0	4	1	W
19/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/09	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
06/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
16/08	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	5-3	3	1	W
02/08	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
27/07	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/06	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harstad vs Skedsmo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Harstad win (45%). Probabilities: Harstad 45%, draw 22%, Skedsmo 32%.

How many goals are expected in Harstad vs Skedsmo?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Harstad 2.09 · Skedsmo 1.76), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Harstad vs Skedsmo?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.