Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 04/10, 13:00

Prediction: Lillestrøm 2 vs Strømsgodset 2

Team pages: Lillestrøm 2 · Strømsgodset 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.49Total

Lillestrøm 22.47

Strømsgodset 22.02

1X2

48% 20% 32%

Lillestrøm 2 Draw Strømsgodset 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Lillestrøm 2 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLLL

Strømsgodset 2 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Lillestrøm 2 2–4 Strømsgodset 2 (6 last)

Strømsgodset 21-3Lillestrøm 2
Strømsgodset 26-0Lillestrøm 2
Lillestrøm 20-2Strømsgodset 2
Strømsgodset 23-1Lillestrøm 2
Lillestrøm 21-2Strømsgodset 2
Lillestrøm 24-2Strømsgodset 2

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Strømsgodset 2: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lillestrøm 2	Strømsgodset 2
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 3.1	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.7	1.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.79

Under 4.251.93

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 5.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.44▼	Pinn 1.44
X	4.66 → 4.74▲	Pinn 4.74
2	4.50 → 4.52▲	Pinn 4.52

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +34’	1.45	4.66	4.50
07:03 +67’	1.44▼	4.74▲	4.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillestrøm 2 2–0–4 Strømsgodset 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strømsgodset 2	1-3 HT 1-2	Lillestrøm 2
06/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Strømsgodset 2	6-0 HT 3-0	Lillestrøm 2
28/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Lillestrøm 2	0-2 HT 0-2	Strømsgodset 2
19/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Strømsgodset 2	3-1 HT 1-0	Lillestrøm 2
29/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Lillestrøm 2	1-2 HT 1-1	Strømsgodset 2
10/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Lillestrøm 2	4-2 HT 3-0	Strømsgodset 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	21	16	1	4	50	25	49
2	Fløya	22	14	3	5	64	35	45
3	Alta	22	12	6	4	56	31	42
4	Harstad	21	12	3	6	67	33	39
5	Finnsnes IL	22	11	3	8	40	35	36
6	Skjetten	21	10	3	8	52	42	33
7	Fauske/Sprint	21	9	4	8	58	68	31
8	Lillestrøm 2	21	9	0	12	68	53	27
9	Kongsvinger 2	21	8	2	11	38	58	26
10	Skjervøy	21	7	3	11	33	56	24
11	Strømsgodset 2	21	7	2	12	41	48	23
12	Tromso 2	22	5	6	11	42	42	21
13	Bossekop	22	5	4	13	35	75	19
14	IL Ulfstind	22	4	2	16	36	79	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lillestrøm 2	Strømsgodset 2
Alta	3-8 L	0-2 L
Fauske/Sprint	2-4 L	3-5 L
Skedsmo	1-2 L	0-1 L
Bossekop	11-0 W	1-2 L
Finnsnes IL	1-0 W	5-1 W
Kongsvinger 2	4-5 L	3-2 W
Fløya	2-3 L	2-4 L
Tromso 2	5-3 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lillestrøm 2

WLLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-4	3-8	–	–	L
20/09	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-4	10	3	L
14/09	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
06/09	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-0	11-0	12	4	W
30/08	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
10/08	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
03/08	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-3	4-5	2	4	L
25/07	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
28/06	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	4-0	5-3	4	2	W

Strømsgodset 2

WLLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	2-4	6	6	L
21/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
14/09	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-3	3-5	4	3	L
06/09	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	5-1	0	6	W
31/08	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	0-1	12	1	L
10/08	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	3-2	3	2	W
02/08	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
25/07	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
28/06	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	5-1	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lillestrøm 2 vs Strømsgodset 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lillestrøm 2 win (48%). Probabilities: Lillestrøm 2 48%, draw 20%, Strømsgodset 2 32%.

How many goals are expected in Lillestrøm 2 vs Strømsgodset 2?

The model expects 4.49 goals (Lillestrøm 2 2.47 · Strømsgodset 2 2.02), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lillestrøm 2 vs Strømsgodset 2?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.