Football · USA NWSL Women · 26/07, 23:00
Prediction: San Diego Wave (W) vs Reign FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
San Diego Wave (W)1.71
Reign FC (W)0.84
1X2
San Diego Wave (W)
Draw
Reign FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Diego Wave (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Reign FC (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Diego Wave (W)
1–1–4
Reign FC (W)
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Diego Wave (W) (rating 1533 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Reign FC (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Diego Wave (W) | Reign FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Diego Wave (W) 1–1–4 Reign FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Diego Wave (W) |
| 07/06/25 USA NWSL Women | San Diego Wave (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Reign FC (W) |
| 04/05/24 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | San Diego Wave (W) |
| 30/03/24 USA NWSL Women | San Diego Wave (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Reign FC (W) |
| 06/11/23 USA NWSL Women | San Diego Wave (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Reign FC (W) |
| 29/07/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women | Reign FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Diego Wave (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave (W) | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | Utah Royals (W) | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current (W) | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 25 |
| 7 | Angel City FC (W) | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | Orlando Pride (W) | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 20 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 11 | Bay FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 12 | Reign FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 13 | Houston Dash (W) | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Diego Wave (W) | Reign FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Portland Thorns (W) | 4-3 W | 2-0 W |
| Houston Dash (W) | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Washington Spirit (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Diego Wave (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Diego Wave (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 29/06 | Portland Thorns (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Reign FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Diego Wave (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Diego Wave (W) win (57%). Probabilities: San Diego Wave (W) 57%, draw 26%, Reign FC (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in San Diego Wave (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
The model expects 2.56 goals (San Diego Wave (W) 1.71 · Reign FC (W) 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Diego Wave (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.