Football · USA NWSL Women · 08/11, 21:00

Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)

Team pages: Washington Spirit (W) · Portland Thorns (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Washington Spirit (W)1.47

Portland Thorns (W)1.1

1X2

45% 28% 27%

Washington Spirit (W) Draw Portland Thorns (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Washington Spirit (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWWLW

Portland Thorns (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDLDWW

Head-to-head

Washington Spirit (W) 4–2 Portland Thorns (W) (6 last)

Portland Thorns (W)1-2Washington Spirit (W)
Washington Spirit (W)0-1Portland Thorns (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-0Portland Thorns (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-0Washington Spirit (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Washington Spirit (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Washington Spirit (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.3	3.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.91

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 21:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.65▲	Pinn 1.65
X	3.98 → 3.94▼	Pinn 3.94
2	4.50 → 4.47▼	Pinn 4.47

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:12 +9’	1.58	3.98	4.50
12:01 +22’	1.59▲	4.10▲	4.65▲
13:33 +3’	1.60▲	4.08▼	4.65
21:04 +9’	1.65▲	3.94▼	4.47▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 3 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 4–0–2 Portland Thorns (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Washington Spirit (W)
14/03/26 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
15/11/25 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Portland Thorns (W)
03/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Portland Thorns (W)
15/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Washington Spirit (W)
07/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	30	18	7	5	39	23	61
2	San Diego Wave (W)	30	18	4	8	45	31	58
3	Washington Spirit (W)	30	17	4	9	43	28	55
4	Kansas City Current (W)	30	16	5	9	54	39	53
5	Angel City FC (W)	30	15	7	8	54	32	52
6	Portland Thorns (W)	30	14	8	8	50	41	50
7	Utah Royals (W)	30	14	5	11	44	39	47
8	Reign FC (W)	30	14	5	11	37	33	47
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	30	14	3	13	52	42	45
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	30	11	8	11	53	42	41
11	Orlando Pride (W)	30	11	3	16	39	47	36
12	Houston Dash (W)	30	9	6	15	38	44	33
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	30	9	6	15	41	53	33
14	Bay FC (W)	30	7	6	17	30	47	27
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	30	7	3	20	38	62	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	30	5	2	23	17	71	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Washington Spirit (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Chicago Stars (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Houston Dash (W)	3-2 W	2-0 W
Boston Legacy FC (W)	0-3 L	2-4 L
Bay FC (W)	1-0 W	2-2 D
Orlando Pride (W)	0-1 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Washington Spirit (W)

LWWLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
25/10	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
17/10	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/10	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	11	1	W
27/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
20/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
13/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	2	5	L
06/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
30/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
23/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	11	2	L

Portland Thorns (W)

WDLDWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
24/10	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
18/10	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
04/10	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	2-4	5	6	L
27/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
19/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
14/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
06/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
29/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington Spirit (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 45%, draw 28%, Portland Thorns (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 1.47 · Portland Thorns (W) 1.1), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.