Football · USA NWSL Women · 26/07, 01:45

Prediction: North Carolina Courage (W) vs Utah Royals (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

North Carolina Courage (W)1.41

Utah Royals (W)1.27

1X2

39% 28% 33%

North Carolina Courage (W) Draw Utah Royals (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

North Carolina Courage (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWWLL

Utah Royals (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWDLLW

Head-to-head

North Carolina Courage (W) 4–1–1 Utah Royals (W) (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours North Carolina Courage (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Carolina Courage (W)	Utah Royals (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.97

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.15
X	3.30 → 3.38▲	Pinn 3.38
2	2.97 → 3.04▲	Pinn 3.04

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:16	2.12	3.30	2.97
04:16	2.15▲	3.38▲	3.04▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · North Carolina Courage (W) 4–1–1 Utah Royals (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Utah Royals (W)
04/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	North Carolina Courage (W)
18/05/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Utah Royals (W)
23/03/24 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	North Carolina Courage (W)
22/09/19 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	North Carolina Courage (W)
28/07/19 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	15	9	3	3	19	10	30
2	San Diego Wave (W)	16	9	2	5	23	17	29
3	Washington Spirit (W)	14	8	3	3	22	11	27
4	Portland Thorns (W)	16	8	3	5	25	18	27
5	Kansas City Current (W)	15	8	1	6	23	22	25
6	Utah Royals (W)	14	7	3	4	21	16	24
7	North Carolina Courage (W)	14	6	3	5	20	19	21
8	Orlando Pride (W)	15	6	2	7	21	20	20
9	Angel City FC (W)	13	6	1	6	20	14	19
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	14	5	4	5	21	19	19
11	Bay FC (W)	14	5	3	6	16	19	18
12	Reign FC (W)	14	5	2	7	15	19	17
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	15	4	4	7	16	21	16
14	Houston Dash (W)	14	4	3	7	17	23	15
15	Chicago Stars (W)	14	4	0	10	8	28	12
16	Racing Louisville FC (W)	13	2	1	10	15	26	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Carolina Courage (W)	Utah Royals (W)
Bay FC (W)	0-3 L	0-0 D
Reign FC (W)	3-1 W	3-0 W
Angel City FC (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Chicago Stars (W)	4-0 W	2-3 L
Orlando Pride (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Houston Dash (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Utah Royals (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Carolina Courage (W)

WDLLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	8	0	L
12/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
01/06	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
23/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
09/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
03/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
30/04	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
26/04	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Utah Royals (W)

WWWDWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
05/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
30/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
24/05	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
18/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
10/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
07/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	15	3	W
03/05	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
27/04	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	3-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Carolina Courage (W) win (39%). Probabilities: North Carolina Courage (W) 39%, draw 28%, Utah Royals (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?

The model expects 2.68 goals (North Carolina Courage (W) 1.41 · Utah Royals (W) 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.