Football · USA NWSL Women · 27/07, 03:00

Prediction: Angel City FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Angel City FC (W)1.56

Racing Louisville FC (W)0.96

1X2

50% 28% 22%

Angel City FC (W) Draw Racing Louisville FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Angel City FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLWWW

Racing Louisville FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLLLD

Head-to-head

Angel City FC (W) 1–2–3 Racing Louisville FC (W) (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Racing Louisville FC (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Angel City FC (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	4 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.43	Pinn 1.43
X	4.28 → 4.28	Pinn 4.28
2	6.27 → 6.27	Pinn 6.27

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15	1.43	4.28	6.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel City FC (W) 1–2–3 Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Angel City FC (W)
25/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
15/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Angel City FC (W)
20/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
20/08/23 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Angel City FC (W)
16/04/23 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	2-2 HT 0-2	Racing Louisville FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Washington Spirit (W)	15	9	3	3	24	12	30
2	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	15	9	3	3	19	10	30
3	San Diego Wave (W)	16	9	2	5	23	17	29
4	Portland Thorns (W)	16	8	3	5	25	18	27
5	Utah Royals (W)	15	8	3	4	22	16	27
6	Kansas City Current (W)	15	8	1	6	23	22	25
7	Angel City FC (W)	14	7	1	6	22	14	22
8	North Carolina Courage (W)	14	6	3	5	20	19	21
9	Orlando Pride (W)	16	6	2	8	21	21	20
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	14	5	4	5	21	19	19
11	Bay FC (W)	14	5	3	6	16	19	18
12	Reign FC (W)	14	5	2	7	15	19	17
13	Houston Dash (W)	15	4	4	7	18	24	16
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	16	4	4	8	17	23	16
15	Chicago Stars (W)	15	4	0	11	8	30	12
16	Racing Louisville FC (W)	14	2	2	10	16	27	8

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angel City FC (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Houston Dash (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Portland Thorns (W)	0-0 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Angel City FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
12/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
01/06	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
24/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
21/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
18/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
10/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	1	L
03/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
27/04	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	3	2	L

Racing Louisville FC (W)

DWLWWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
06/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
04/07	Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) USA USL W-League Women	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/06	Toledo Villa Women USA USL W-League Women	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/06	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	4-3	–	–	W
18/06	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/06	Indy Eleven Women USA USL W-League Women	–	0-3	–	–	L
07/06	Toledo Villa Women USA USL W-League Women	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/05	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel City FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Angel City FC (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Angel City FC (W) 50%, draw 28%, Racing Louisville FC (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Angel City FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Angel City FC (W) 1.56 · Racing Louisville FC (W) 0.96), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Angel City FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.