Football · USA NWSL Women · 30/07, 02:00

Prediction: Kansas City Current (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Kansas City Current (W)2.02

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.14

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Kansas City Current (W) Draw Racing Louisville FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kansas City Current (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLDL

Racing Louisville FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLLLD

Head-to-head

Kansas City Current (W) 4–1–1 Racing Louisville FC (W) (6 last)

Racing Louisville FC (W)0-2Kansas City Current (W)
Kansas City Current (W)4-2Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-2Kansas City Current (W)
Kansas City Current (W)3-3Racing Louisville FC (W)
Kansas City Current (W)3-0Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)2-1Kansas City Current (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kansas City Current (W) (rating 1531 vs 1454).
H2H favours Kansas City Current (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kansas City Current (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	4 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.99

Under 3.251.81

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.46 → 1.46	Pinn 1.46
X	4.55 → 4.55	Pinn 4.55
2	5.28 → 5.28	Pinn 5.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:05	1.46	4.55	5.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kansas City Current (W) 4–1–1 Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Kansas City Current (W)
15/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Kansas City Current (W)	4-2 HT 3-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
06/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Kansas City Current (W)
19/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Kansas City Current (W)	3-3 HT 1-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
06/08/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women	Kansas City Current (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
08/07/23 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Kansas City Current (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	16	9	4	3	21	12	31
2	Washington Spirit (W)	15	9	3	3	24	12	30
3	Utah Royals (W)	16	9	3	4	26	17	30
4	San Diego Wave (W)	16	9	2	5	23	17	29
5	Portland Thorns (W)	17	8	4	5	27	20	28
6	Kansas City Current (W)	16	8	1	7	23	23	25
7	Orlando Pride (W)	17	7	2	8	22	21	23
8	Angel City FC (W)	14	7	1	6	22	14	22
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	15	6	3	6	21	23	21
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	14	5	4	5	21	19	19
11	Houston Dash (W)	16	5	4	7	19	24	19
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	23	19
13	Bay FC (W)	15	5	3	7	16	20	18
14	Reign FC (W)	14	5	2	7	15	19	17
15	Chicago Stars (W)	16	4	0	12	8	31	12
16	Racing Louisville FC (W)	14	2	2	10	16	27	8

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kansas City Current (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Portland Thorns (W)	3-1 W	0-4 L
Houston Dash (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kansas City Current (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kansas City Current (W)

WWLWWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
18/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
11/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	4	0	L
04/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
27/06	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
30/05	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	3	0	W
21/05	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
16/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
10/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-0	6	1	W

Racing Louisville FC (W)

DWLWWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
06/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
04/07	Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) USA USL W-League Women	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/06	Toledo Villa Women USA USL W-League Women	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/06	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	4-3	–	–	W
18/06	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/06	Indy Eleven Women USA USL W-League Women	–	0-3	–	–	L
07/06	Toledo Villa Women USA USL W-League Women	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/05	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kansas City Current (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kansas City Current (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Kansas City Current (W) 57%, draw 23%, Racing Louisville FC (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Kansas City Current (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Kansas City Current (W) 2.02 · Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.14), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kansas City Current (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.