Football · USA NWSL Women · 08/08, 02:00

Prediction: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

Team pages: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) · San Diego Wave (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.64

San Diego Wave (W)0.91

1X2

53% 27% 20%

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) Draw San Diego Wave (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWDWW

San Diego Wave (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWLDL

Head-to-head

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 2–1–3 San Diego Wave (W) (6 last)

San Diego Wave (W)2-0NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
San Diego Wave (W)0-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-1San Diego Wave (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2-1San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)1-1NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-1San Diego Wave (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (rating 1565 vs 1510).
H2H favours San Diego Wave (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.05
X	3.26 → 3.26	Pinn 3.26
2	3.36 → 3.36	Pinn 3.36

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:48	2.05	3.26	3.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 2–1–3 San Diego Wave (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
13/09/25 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
17/05/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	San Diego Wave (W)
20/06/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	San Diego Wave (W)
13/05/24 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
16/03/24 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	18	11	4	3	23	12	37
2	Washington Spirit (W)	17	11	3	3	26	12	36
3	Utah Royals (W)	17	9	3	5	26	18	30
4	Kansas City Current (W)	18	9	2	7	29	25	29
5	San Diego Wave (W)	17	9	2	6	23	19	29
6	Portland Thorns (W)	17	8	4	5	27	20	28
7	North Carolina Courage (W)	16	7	3	6	26	23	24
8	Angel City FC (W)	16	7	2	7	24	17	23
9	Reign FC (W)	16	7	2	7	20	21	23
10	Orlando Pride (W)	18	7	2	9	22	26	23
11	Denver Summit FC (W)	15	5	4	6	21	20	19
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	23	19
13	Houston Dash (W)	17	5	4	8	19	25	19
14	Bay FC (W)	17	5	3	9	18	24	18
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	17	4	2	11	21	34	14
16	Chicago Stars (W)	17	4	0	13	9	33	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Houston Dash (W)	1-0 W	2-2 D
Portland Thorns (W)	2-2 D	4-3 W
Reign FC (W)	3-2 W	0-2 L
Washington Spirit (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Kansas City Current (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

LWWLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
30/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
18/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	4	2	W
16/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
05/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
27/06	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
31/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
24/05	Pachuca (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup	0-2	0-3	1	2	L

San Diego Wave (W)

WWDLWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
18/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
12/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	10	4	L
05/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
29/06	Portland Thorns (W) Women’s Friendly	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
31/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
25/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
21/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	9	5	D
16/05	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
10/05	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (53%). Probabilities: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 53%, draw 27%, San Diego Wave (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model expects 2.55 goals (NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.64 · San Diego Wave (W) 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.