Football · USA NWSL Women · 25/07, 02:00
Prediction: Orlando Pride (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Orlando Pride (W)1.94
Chicago Stars (W)1.25
1X2
Orlando Pride (W)
Draw
Chicago Stars (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Orlando Pride (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Chicago Stars (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orlando Pride (W)
4–1–1
Chicago Stars (W)
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pride (W) (rating 1482 vs 1433).
- H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orlando Pride (W) | Chicago Stars (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pride (W) 4–1–1 Chicago Stars (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Orlando Pride (W) |
| 07/09/25 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 5-2 HT 0-0 | Orlando Pride (W) |
| 15/03/25 USA NWSL Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 09/11/24 USA NWSL Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 09/09/24 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orlando Pride (W) |
| 30/03/24 USA NWSL Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave (W) | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current (W) | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 25 |
| 6 | Utah Royals (W) | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 11 | Bay FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 12 | Reign FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Houston Dash (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 15 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orlando Pride (W) | Chicago Stars (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Royals (W) | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Kansas City Current (W) | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Angel City FC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Bay FC (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| San Diego Wave (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Orlando Pride (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando Pride (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Chicago Stars (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 30/04 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando Pride (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pride (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Orlando Pride (W) 53%, draw 24%, Chicago Stars (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Orlando Pride (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Orlando Pride (W) 1.94 · Chicago Stars (W) 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orlando Pride (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.