Football · South Korea K League 1 · 15/08, 12:30
Prediction: Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers
Team pages: Gwangju FC · Pohang Steelers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Gwangju FC0.98
Pohang Steelers0.98
1X2
Gwangju FC
Draw
Pohang Steelers
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gwangju FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Pohang Steelers
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gwangju FC
2–4
Pohang Steelers
(6 last)
- Gwangju FC0-3Pohang Steelers
- Pohang Steelers1-0Gwangju FC
- Pohang Steelers1-0Gwangju FC
- Pohang Steelers0-1Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC2-3Pohang Steelers
- Gwangju FC2-1Pohang Steelers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pohang Steelers (rating 1432 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Pohang Steelers: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gwangju FC | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gwangju FC 2–0–4 Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Pohang Steelers |
| 22/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 10/08/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 18/05/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 22/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Pohang Steelers |
| 13/09/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Pohang Steelers |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 17 | 44 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 37 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 34 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 24 | 29 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gwangju FC | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Bucheon | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Jeju United | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Anyang | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Ulsan HD | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Incheon Utd | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Gwangju FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gwangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Cheonan City South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Gwangju FC 33%, draw 34%, Pohang Steelers 33%.
How many goals are expected in Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Gwangju FC 0.98 · Pohang Steelers 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.