Football · South Korea K League 1 · 16/08, 12:30
Prediction: Incheon Utd vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Team pages: Incheon Utd · Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Incheon Utd1.4
Gimcheon Sangmu FC0.98
1X2
Incheon Utd
Draw
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Incheon Utd
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Incheon Utd
2–3–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
(6 last)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-3Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd2-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-0Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Incheon Utd0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-2Incheon Utd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Incheon Utd: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Incheon Utd | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 2–3–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Incheon Utd |
| 05/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 15/09/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 05/07/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 19/06/24 South Korea Cup | Incheon Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 05/05/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Incheon Utd |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 17 | 44 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 37 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 34 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 24 | 29 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Incheon Utd | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bucheon | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Anyang | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Gwangju FC | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Gimpo FC South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/07 | Suwon FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (45%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 45%, draw 30%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Incheon Utd 1.4 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.98), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.