Football · South Korea K League 1 · 16/08, 12:30
Prediction: Ulsan HD vs Gangwon FC
Team pages: Ulsan HD · Gangwon FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Ulsan HD1.51
Gangwon FC1.07
1X2
Ulsan HD
Draw
Gangwon FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ulsan HD
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Gangwon FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ulsan HD
2–2–2
Gangwon FC
(6 last)
- Gangwon FC2-0Ulsan HD
- Ulsan HD3-1Gangwon FC
- Gangwon FC2-2Ulsan HD
- Gangwon FC1-1Ulsan HD
- Ulsan HD1-2Gangwon FC
- Ulsan HD2-1Gangwon FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulsan HD | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulsan HD 2–2–2 Gangwon FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Ulsan HD |
| 28/02/26 South Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 27/07/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ulsan HD |
| 17/05/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ulsan HD |
| 19/04/25 South Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 01/11/24 South Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gangwon FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 17 | 44 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 37 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 34 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 24 | 29 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ulsan HD | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Anyang | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Seoul | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Gwangju FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ulsan HD (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulsan HD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 29/07 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulsan HD vs Gangwon FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ulsan HD win (46%). Probabilities: Ulsan HD 46%, draw 28%, Gangwon FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Ulsan HD vs Gangwon FC?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Ulsan HD 1.51 · Gangwon FC 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulsan HD vs Gangwon FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.