Prediction: Western Rage vs Dunbar Rovers FC
Expected goals: 3.24 (Western Rage 1.56 · Dunbar Rovers FC 1.68). The model gives 35% home, 24% draw, 40% away. Under 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Western Rage with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Dunbar Rovers FC has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Western Rage won 0 and Dunbar Rovers FC 3, with 1 draw.
| Western Rage | Draw | Dunbar Rovers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunbar Rovers FC (rating 1483 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Dunbar Rovers FC: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western Rage | Dunbar Rovers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.8 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Rage 0–1–3 Dunbar Rovers FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Western Rage |
| 27/08/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Western Rage | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Dunbar Rovers FC |
| 26/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Western Rage |
| 04/06/17 Australia New South Wales League 3 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Western Rage |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Hawkesbury City SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 43 | 30 |
| 4 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 5 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 30 |
| 6 | Central Coast United FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 29 |
| 7 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 45 | 28 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 27 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 46 | 25 |
| 12 | South Coast Flame FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Inner West Hawks | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 22 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 20 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 54 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western Rage | Dunbar Rovers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney University | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Mounties Wanderers | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Nepean FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Camden Tigers SC | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| South Coast Flame FC | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Fraser Park | 0-9 L | 3-1 W |
| Gladesville Ryde Magic | 5-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunbar Rovers FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western Rage
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-6 | 0-9 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
Dunbar Rovers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western Rage vs Dunbar Rovers FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunbar Rovers FC win (40%). Probabilities: Western Rage 35%, draw 24%, Dunbar Rovers FC 40%.
How many goals are expected in Western Rage vs Dunbar Rovers FC?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Western Rage 1.56 · Dunbar Rovers FC 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Western Rage vs Dunbar Rovers FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.