Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 17/07, 12:00
Prediction: Hurstville FC vs Dulwich Hill
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Hurstville FC1.93
Dulwich Hill1.42
1X2
Hurstville FC
Draw
Dulwich Hill
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hurstville FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Dulwich Hill
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hurstville FC
0–1
Dulwich Hill
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hurstville FC 1495 · Dulwich Hill 1448
| Hurstville FC | Draw | Dulwich Hill | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hurstville FC (rating 1495 vs 1448).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hurstville FC | Dulwich Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.7 | 1.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hurstville FC 0–0–1 Dulwich Hill
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Dulwich Hill | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Hurstville FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 43 |
| 3 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 37 | 41 |
| 4 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 34 |
| 7 | Hills United FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls FC Academy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 34 | 33 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 38 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 38 | 27 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 42 | 25 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 52 | 23 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 23 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 23 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 41 | 18 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 16 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hurstville FC | Dulwich Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Hakoah Sydney City East | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Hills United FC | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Bulls FC Academy | 1-4 L | 3-5 L |
| Inter Lions | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Rydalmere Lions FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Prospect United | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Blacktown Spartans | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hurstville FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hurstville FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 03/07 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Dulwich Hill
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hurstville FC vs Dulwich Hill?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hurstville FC win (49%). Probabilities: Hurstville FC 49%, draw 24%, Dulwich Hill 27%.
How many goals are expected in Hurstville FC vs Dulwich Hill?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Hurstville FC 1.93 · Dulwich Hill 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hurstville FC vs Dulwich Hill?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.