Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 17/07, 12:00
Prediction: Prospect United vs Macarthur Rams
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Prospect United1.18
Macarthur Rams1.47
1X2
Prospect United
Draw
Macarthur Rams
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Prospect United
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Macarthur Rams
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Prospect United
0–1
Macarthur Rams
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Prospect United 1458 · Macarthur Rams 1540
| Prospect United | Draw | Macarthur Rams | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macarthur Rams (rating 1458 vs 1540).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Prospect United | Macarthur Rams | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Prospect United 0–0–1 Macarthur Rams
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Macarthur Rams | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Prospect United |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 43 |
| 3 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 37 | 41 |
| 4 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 34 |
| 7 | Hills United FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls FC Academy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 34 | 33 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 38 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 38 | 27 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 42 | 25 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 52 | 23 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 23 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 23 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 41 | 18 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 16 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Prospect United | Macarthur Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Canterbury Bankstown FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Hakoah Sydney City East | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Hills United FC | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Newcastle Jets NPL | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Northern Tigers | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Bankstown City Lions FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Prospect United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/07 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Macarthur Rams
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Prospect United vs Macarthur Rams?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Macarthur Rams win (44%). Probabilities: Prospect United 30%, draw 26%, Macarthur Rams 44%.
How many goals are expected in Prospect United vs Macarthur Rams?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Prospect United 1.18 · Macarthur Rams 1.47), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Prospect United vs Macarthur Rams?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.