Prediction: JaPS vs SJK II
Expected goals: 2.43 (JaPS 1.48 · SJK II 0.95). The model gives 49% home, 27% draw, 24% away. Under 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, JaPS is 4-0-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and SJK II 1-2-7 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, JaPS won 2 and SJK II 1, with 3 draws.
| JaPS | Draw | SJK II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JaPS (rating 1468 vs 1425).
- H2H favours JaPS: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JaPS | SJK II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JaPS 2–3–1 SJK II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga | SJK II | 0-2 HT 0-0 | JaPS |
| 28/09/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | SJK II | 1-1 HT 0-1 | JaPS |
| 19/07/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | SJK II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | JaPS |
| 25/05/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | JaPS | 2-2 HT 0-1 | SJK II |
| 20/09/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | JaPS | 2-1 HT 1-1 | SJK II |
| 02/06/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | JaPS | 1-1 HT 1-0 | SJK II |
Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTP | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | PK-35 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | FC Haka | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Jippo | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Ekenäs IF | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 6 | JaPS | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 16 |
| 7 | KaPa | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | MP | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Klubi-04 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 10 | SJK II | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JaPS | SJK II |
|---|---|---|
| FC Haka | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| KTP | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: JaPS (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JaPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 05/06 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | KTP Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | HIFK 2 Finland Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
SJK II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 15/06 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 09/06 | Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/05 | KTP Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | SJK Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | KPV Finland Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JaPS vs SJK II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JaPS win (49%). Probabilities: JaPS 49%, draw 27%, SJK II 24%.
How many goals are expected in JaPS vs SJK II?
The model expects 2.43 goals (JaPS 1.48 · SJK II 0.95), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JaPS vs SJK II?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.