Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 10/07, 17:30

Prediction: KTP vs JaPS

Expected goals: 2.91 (KTP 1.94 · JaPS 0.98). The model gives 59% home, 24% draw, 17% away. Over 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, KTP is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and JaPS 4-0-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for KTP and 1 for JaPS, with 2 draws.

59%1
59% 24% 17%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.91KTP 1.94 · JaPS 0.98
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTP (rating 1571 vs 1482).
  • H2H favours KTP: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KTPJaPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.31 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 7.82.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · KTP 321 JaPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
JaPS0-1
HT 0-0
KTP
09/02/26
Finland Ykkoscup
KTP3-0
HT 2-0
JaPS
13/09/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
KTP1-2
HT 1-1
JaPS
05/07/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
JaPS0-0
HT 0-0
KTP
03/05/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
KTP2-0
HT 0-0
JaPS
27/01/24
Finland Ykkoscup
JaPS1-1
HT 1-1
KTP

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KTP 13922 211329
2 PK-35 12732 18724
3 FC Haka 12633 201221
4 Jippo 13562 171021
5 JaPS 13616 121919
6 Ekenäs IF 12516 202316
7 KaPa 12435 141715
8 MP 12417 101413
9 Klubi-04 12156 10148
10 SJK II 13139 4176

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKTPJaPS
FC Haka 2-0 W 2-1 W
KaPa 2-1 W 1-3 L
SJK II 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KTP (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTP

LWWWWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-2 3-3 94 D
27/06 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 43 W
12/06 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-1 5-1 105 W
08/06 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-2 79 L
05/06 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 2-1 135 W
29/05 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 102 W
23/05 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 31 W
16/05 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-0 64 W
09/05 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 2-1 43 W
03/05 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-2 2-5 124 L

JaPS

WWLLLLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-0 22 W
28/06 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 1-3 55 L
12/06 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-5 30 L
05/06 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-1 2-1 28 W
29/05 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-2 64 L
26/05 KuPS Kuopio
Finland Cup
0-0 0-1 43 L
22/05 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-2 72 L
16/05 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 44 L
13/05 HIFK 2
Finland Cup
1-1 3-1 36 W
09/05 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 2-0 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTP vs JaPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTP win (59%). Probabilities: KTP 59%, draw 24%, JaPS 17%.

How many goals are expected in KTP vs JaPS?

The model expects 2.91 goals (KTP 1.94 · JaPS 0.98), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KTP vs JaPS?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.