Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 11/07, 15:00

Prediction: SJK II vs MP

Expected goals: 2.22 (SJK II 0.99 · MP 1.23). The model gives 28% home, 31% draw, 40% away. Under 2.75 goals (59%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves SJK II with 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses over 10 games; MP has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, SJK II won 3 and MP 0, with 3 draws.

40%2
28% 31% 40%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.22SJK II 0.99 · MP 1.23
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 59%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MP (rating 1405 vs 1496).
  • H2H favours SJK II: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SJK IIMP
Goals for / against (FT)0.2 / 1.71.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.80.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.22.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK II 330 MP

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
SJK II1-0
HT 1-0
MP
27/09/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
SJK II2-2
HT 2-0
MP
27/07/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
MP1-2
HT 0-1
SJK II
28/05/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
SJK II0-0
HT 0-0
MP
14/10/23
Finland Ykkosliiga
MP1-4
HT 0-2
SJK II
16/09/23
Finland Ykkosliiga
MP2-2
HT 2-0
SJK II

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KTP 13922 211329
2 PK-35 13832 21727
3 FC Haka 12633 201221
4 Jippo 13562 171021
5 JaPS 13616 121919
6 Ekenäs IF 13517 202616
7 KaPa 12435 141715
8 MP 12417 101413
9 Klubi-04 12156 10148
10 SJK II 13139 4176

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSJK IIMP
JaPS 0-1 L 2-0 W
Klubi-04 0-2 L 2-2 D
FC Haka 0-2 L 2-1 W
Jippo 0-0 D 1-3 L
Ekenäs IF 0-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MP (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK II

LWLLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 32 L
26/06 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-2 117 L
15/06 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-2 05 L
09/06 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-0 36 D
29/05 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-1 32 L
26/05 SJK
Finland Cup
0-3 0-5 L
22/05 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 62 L
17/05 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-3 31 L
13/05 KPV
Finland Cup
0-0 2-0 42 W
09/05 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-2 52 L

MP

WLLLWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-1 23 W
26/06 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 1-2 14 L
14/06 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 2-2 27 D
06/06 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 43 L
31/05 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 34 W
22/05 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 2-0 52 W
17/05 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-3 93 L
13/05 FC Lahti
Finland Cup
1-1 1-3 21 L
07/05 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-3 43 L
02/05 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK II vs MP?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MP win (40%). Probabilities: SJK II 28%, draw 31%, MP 40%.

How many goals are expected in SJK II vs MP?

The model expects 2.22 goals (SJK II 0.99 · MP 1.23), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK II vs MP?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.