Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 10/07, 18:00

Prediction: PK-35 vs KaPa

Expected goals: 2.41 (PK-35 1.61 · KaPa 0.8). The model gives 55% home, 27% draw, 17% away. Under 2.75 goals (56%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Recent form leaves PK-35 with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; KaPa has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, PK-35 won 2 and KaPa 1, with 3 draws.

55%1
55% 27% 17%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.41PK-35 1.61 · KaPa 0.8
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 56%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PK-35 (rating 1558 vs 1492).
  • H2H favours PK-35: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PK-35KaPa
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.61.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 6.63 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.24.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · PK-35 231 KaPa

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
KaPa0-0
HT 0-0
PK-35
28/02/26
Finland Ykkoscup
KaPa1-0
HT 1-0
PK-35
12/09/25
Finland Ykkosliiga
PK-351-1
HT 0-0
KaPa
09/07/25
Finland Ykkosliiga
KaPa1-1
HT 1-0
PK-35
18/05/25
Finland Ykkosliiga
PK-354-0
HT 2-0
KaPa
06/04/25
Europe Friendlies
PK-351-0
HT 0-0
KaPa

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KTP 13922 211329
2 PK-35 12732 18724
3 FC Haka 12633 201221
4 Jippo 13562 171021
5 JaPS 13616 121919
6 Ekenäs IF 12516 202316
7 KaPa 12435 141715
8 MP 12417 101413
9 Klubi-04 12156 10148
10 SJK II 13139 4176

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPK-35KaPa
Ekenäs IF 3-0 W 0-1 L
JaPS 5-0 W 3-1 W
Jippo 1-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PK-35 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK-35

LWLDWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 3-0 33 W
26/06 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 2-1 124 W
12/06 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 5-0 50 W
31/05 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-1 74 D
27/05 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-0 74 W
23/05 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 35 W
17/05 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-0 54 D
12/05 KuPS Kuopio
Finland Cup
0-0 0-2 53 L
07/05 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 3-1 113 W
02/05 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-1 84 L

KaPa

WLLDDLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 3-1 75 W
13/06 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-3 55 L
05/06 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 1-2 45 L
29/05 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-1 44 W
23/05 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 64 L
17/05 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-0 64 D
13/05 MyPa
Finland Cup
0-1 1-1 132 D
09/05 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-2 23 L
02/05 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-2 96 L
28/04 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Cup
1-0 3-1 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK-35 vs KaPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PK-35 win (55%). Probabilities: PK-35 55%, draw 27%, KaPa 17%.

How many goals are expected in PK-35 vs KaPa?

The model expects 2.41 goals (PK-35 1.61 · KaPa 0.8), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PK-35 vs KaPa?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.