Football · Sweden Elitettan · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Goteborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)

Team pages: IFK Goteborg (W) · Husqvarna FF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

IFK Goteborg (W)2.7

Husqvarna FF (W)1.37

1X2

65% 18% 17%

IFK Goteborg (W) Draw Husqvarna FF (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Goteborg (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDWWWW

Husqvarna FF (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLLWWW

Head-to-head

IFK Goteborg (W) 0–1–0 Husqvarna FF (W) (1 last)

Husqvarna FF (W)4-4IFK Goteborg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Goteborg (W) 1599 · Husqvarna FF (W) 1532

	IFK Goteborg (W)	Draw	Husqvarna FF (W)
Our model	65%	18%	17%
Market	65%	18%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Goteborg (W) (rating 1599 vs 1532).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Goteborg (W)	Husqvarna FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.38

X5.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:07 +14’	1.38	5.00	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Goteborg (W) 0–1–0 Husqvarna FF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Sweden Elitettan	Husqvarna FF (W)	4-4 HT 2-2	IFK Goteborg (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Goteborg (W)	16	11	4	1	45	15	37
2	Elfsborg (W)	16	11	4	1	31	6	37
3	KIF Orebro (W)	16	12	1	3	33	19	37
4	Linköpings FC (W)	16	11	3	2	32	19	36
5	Umea IK (W)	16	7	3	6	25	21	24
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	16	7	3	6	23	25	24
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	16	6	4	6	23	25	22
8	Enskede IK (W)	16	5	4	7	25	28	19
9	Orebro SK (W)	16	5	4	7	19	24	19
10	Jitex BK (W)	16	5	4	7	18	23	19
11	Alingsås IF (W)	16	3	6	7	14	23	15
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	16	2	4	10	17	30	10
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	16	2	3	11	18	45	9
14	BK Hacken (W) II	16	1	1	14	16	36	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Goteborg (W)	Husqvarna FF (W)
Linköpings FC (W)	4-1 W	1-3 L
Trelleborgs FF (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
Sandvikens IF (W)	6-0 W	4-3 W
KIF Orebro (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
Umea IK (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Elfsborg (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Goteborg (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Goteborg (W)

WWDWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	6-0	6	1	W
08/08	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
01/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-2	4-4	11	1	D
21/06	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/06	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	1	0	D
30/05	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/05	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-0	5	1	W

Husqvarna FF (W)

LLWDDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-2	4-4	4	1	D
18/06	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
13/06	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
31/05	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
23/05	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Goteborg (W) win (65%). Probabilities: IFK Goteborg (W) 65%, draw 18%, Husqvarna FF (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)?

The model expects 4.07 goals (IFK Goteborg (W) 2.7 · Husqvarna FF (W) 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.