Football · Sweden Elitettan · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: BK Hacken (W) II vs Umea IK (W)

Team pages: BK Hacken (W) II · Umea IK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

BK Hacken (W) II1.01

Umea IK (W)2.15

1X2

16% 21% 63%

BK Hacken (W) II Draw Umea IK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Hacken (W) II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLWLW

Umea IK (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWWLD

Head-to-head

BK Hacken (W) II 0–2–3 Umea IK (W) (5 last)

Umea IK (W)4-1BK Hacken (W) II
Umea IK (W)2-2BK Hacken (W) II
BK Hacken (W) II1-1Umea IK (W)
Umea IK (W)1-0BK Hacken (W) II
BK Hacken (W) II3-7Umea IK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken (W) II 1446 · Umea IK (W) 1509

	BK Hacken (W) II	Draw	Umea IK (W)
Our model	16%	22%	63%
Market	16%	21%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Umea IK (W) (rating 1446 vs 1509).
H2H favours Umea IK (W): 3-2-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Hacken (W) II	Umea IK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	3.5 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.33

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:37 +11’	5.50	4.33	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken (W) II 0–2–3 Umea IK (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden Elitettan	Umea IK (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	BK Hacken (W) II
13/09/25 Sweden Elitettan	Umea IK (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	BK Hacken (W) II
20/04/25 Sweden Elitettan	BK Hacken (W) II	1-1 HT 1-0	Umea IK (W)
21/10/23 Sweden Elitettan	Umea IK (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	BK Hacken (W) II
10/06/23 Sweden Elitettan	BK Hacken (W) II	3-7 HT 2-5	Umea IK (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Goteborg (W)	16	11	4	1	45	15	37
2	Elfsborg (W)	16	11	4	1	31	6	37
3	KIF Orebro (W)	16	12	1	3	33	19	37
4	Linköpings FC (W)	16	11	3	2	32	19	36
5	Umea IK (W)	16	7	3	6	25	21	24
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	16	7	3	6	23	25	24
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	16	6	4	6	23	25	22
8	Enskede IK (W)	16	5	4	7	25	28	19
9	Orebro SK (W)	16	5	4	7	19	24	19
10	Jitex BK (W)	16	5	4	7	18	23	19
11	Alingsås IF (W)	16	3	6	7	14	23	15
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	16	2	4	10	17	30	10
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	16	2	3	11	18	45	9
14	BK Hacken (W) II	16	1	1	14	16	36	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Hacken (W) II	Umea IK (W)
Elfsborg (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Linköpings FC (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Jitex BK (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
Gamla Upsala SK (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
KIF Orebro (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
IFK Goteborg (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Umea IK (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Hacken (W) II

LLLDLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	1	1	W
28/08	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	7	1	L
22/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
07/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
02/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-1	3-4	4	0	L
25/07	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
17/06	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
14/06	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
30/05	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-2	6	3	L

Umea IK (W)

LLLLDWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
21/06	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	13	0	L
14/06	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken (W) II vs Umea IK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Umea IK (W) win (63%). Probabilities: BK Hacken (W) II 16%, draw 21%, Umea IK (W) 63%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken (W) II vs Umea IK (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (BK Hacken (W) II 1.01 · Umea IK (W) 2.15), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken (W) II vs Umea IK (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.