Football · Sweden Elitettan · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Jitex BK (W) vs Gamla Upsala SK (W)

Team pages: Jitex BK (W) · Gamla Upsala SK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Jitex BK (W)1.84

Gamla Upsala SK (W)0.96

1X2

58% 23% 19%

Jitex BK (W) Draw Gamla Upsala SK (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Jitex BK (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWLLD

Gamla Upsala SK (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Jitex BK (W) 3–1–2 Gamla Upsala SK (W) (6 last)

Gamla Upsala SK (W)0-1Jitex BK (W)
Gamla Upsala SK (W)1-1Jitex BK (W)
Jitex BK (W)4-3Gamla Upsala SK (W)
Jitex BK (W)4-2Gamla Upsala SK (W)
Gamla Upsala SK (W)3-1Jitex BK (W)
Gamla Upsala SK (W)3-0Jitex BK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jitex BK (W) 1488 · Gamla Upsala SK (W) 1451

	Jitex BK (W)	Draw	Gamla Upsala SK (W)
Our model	57%	25%	18%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jitex BK (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jitex BK (W)	Gamla Upsala SK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:49 +32’	1.53	4.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jitex BK (W) 3–1–2 Gamla Upsala SK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Sweden Elitettan	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Jitex BK (W)
13/09/25 Sweden Elitettan	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Jitex BK (W)
18/04/25 Sweden Elitettan	Jitex BK (W)	4-3 HT 1-2	Gamla Upsala SK (W)
12/10/24 Sweden Elitettan	Jitex BK (W)	4-2 HT 3-2	Gamla Upsala SK (W)
01/05/24 Sweden Elitettan	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Jitex BK (W)
19/08/23 Sweden Elitettan	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Jitex BK (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Goteborg (W)	16	11	4	1	45	15	37
2	Elfsborg (W)	16	11	4	1	31	6	37
3	KIF Orebro (W)	16	12	1	3	33	19	37
4	Linköpings FC (W)	16	11	3	2	32	19	36
5	Umea IK (W)	16	7	3	6	25	21	24
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	16	7	3	6	23	25	24
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	16	6	4	6	23	25	22
8	Enskede IK (W)	16	5	4	7	25	28	19
9	Orebro SK (W)	16	5	4	7	19	24	19
10	Jitex BK (W)	16	5	4	7	18	23	19
11	Alingsås IF (W)	16	3	6	7	14	23	15
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	16	2	4	10	17	30	10
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	16	2	3	11	18	45	9
14	BK Hacken (W) II	16	1	1	14	16	36	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jitex BK (W)	Gamla Upsala SK (W)
Enskede IK (W)	2-2 D	1-4 L
Alingsås IF (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Umea IK (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
BK Hacken (W) II	1-0 W	2-1 W
KIF Orebro (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sandvikens IF (W)	0-0 D	1-3 L
Trelleborgs FF (W)	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Jitex BK (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jitex BK (W)

WLDLLWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
22/08	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-2	8	0	L
15/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
07/08	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
02/08	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/06	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
14/06	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
30/05	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/05	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
16/05	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	4-1	8	4	W

Gamla Upsala SK (W)

LDDWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-1	4-4	–	–	D
02/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
25/07	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	1	1	L
17/06	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	0	1	D
29/05	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
23/05	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-4	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jitex BK (W) vs Gamla Upsala SK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jitex BK (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Jitex BK (W) 58%, draw 23%, Gamla Upsala SK (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Jitex BK (W) vs Gamla Upsala SK (W)?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Jitex BK (W) 1.84 · Gamla Upsala SK (W) 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jitex BK (W) vs Gamla Upsala SK (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.