Football · Sweden Elitettan · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Goteborg (W) vs Jitex BK (W)

Team pages: IFK Goteborg (W) · Jitex BK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

IFK Goteborg (W)2.62

Jitex BK (W)0.75

1X2

77% 15% 8%

IFK Goteborg (W) Draw Jitex BK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Goteborg (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWWWWW

Jitex BK (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWLLDL

Head-to-head

IFK Goteborg (W) 1–1 Jitex BK (W) (2 last)

Jitex BK (W)0-3IFK Goteborg (W)
IFK Goteborg (W)1-4Jitex BK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Goteborg (W) 1584 · Jitex BK (W) 1462

	IFK Goteborg (W)	Draw	Jitex BK (W)
Our model	77%	16%	8%
Market	77%	15%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Goteborg (W) (rating 1584 vs 1462).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Goteborg (W)	Jitex BK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1	0.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.25

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.80

2 (+2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.18▼	Bet365 1.18
X	5.25 → 6.25▲	Bet365 6.25
2	6.25 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:11 +7’	1.30	5.25	6.25
17:45 +3’	1.18▼	6.25▲	11.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Goteborg (W) 1–0–1 Jitex BK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden Elitettan	Jitex BK (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	IFK Goteborg (W)
06/08/24 Sweden Cup Women	IFK Goteborg (W)	1-4 HT 0-0	Jitex BK (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Goteborg (W)	16	11	4	1	45	15	37
2	Elfsborg (W)	16	11	4	1	31	6	37
3	KIF Orebro (W)	16	12	1	3	33	19	37
4	Linköpings FC (W)	16	11	3	2	32	19	36
5	Umea IK (W)	16	7	3	6	25	21	24
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	16	7	3	6	23	25	24
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	16	6	4	6	23	25	22
8	Enskede IK (W)	16	5	4	7	25	28	19
9	Orebro SK (W)	16	5	4	7	19	24	19
10	Jitex BK (W)	16	5	4	7	18	23	19
11	Alingsås IF (W)	16	3	6	7	14	23	15
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	16	2	4	10	17	30	10
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	16	2	3	11	18	45	9
14	BK Hacken (W) II	16	1	1	14	16	36	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Goteborg (W)	Jitex BK (W)
Sandvikens IF (W)	6-0 W	0-0 D
KIF Orebro (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
Umea IK (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
BK Hacken (W) II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Goteborg (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Goteborg (W)

WDWDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	9	0	W
29/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	6-0	6	1	W
08/08	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
01/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-2	4-4	11	1	D
21/06	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/06	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	1	0	D
30/05	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-1	2-1	6	3	W

Jitex BK (W)

LDLLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
30/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
22/08	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-2	8	0	L
15/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
07/08	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
02/08	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/06	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
14/06	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
30/05	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/05	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Jitex BK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Goteborg (W) win (77%). Probabilities: IFK Goteborg (W) 77%, draw 15%, Jitex BK (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Jitex BK (W)?

The model expects 3.37 goals (IFK Goteborg (W) 2.62 · Jitex BK (W) 0.75), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Jitex BK (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.