Football · Sweden Elitettan · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF (W) vs BK Hacken (W) II

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF (W) · BK Hacken (W) II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Trelleborgs FF (W)2.28

BK Hacken (W) II1.08

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Trelleborgs FF (W) Draw BK Hacken (W) II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDDWLLDD

BK Hacken (W) II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF (W) 5–0 BK Hacken (W) II (5 last)

BK Hacken (W) II2-4Trelleborgs FF (W)
BK Hacken (W) II0-4Trelleborgs FF (W)
Trelleborgs FF (W)3-0BK Hacken (W) II
BK Hacken (W) II1-2Trelleborgs FF (W)
Trelleborgs FF (W)2-0BK Hacken (W) II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF (W) 1504 · BK Hacken (W) II 1418

	Trelleborgs FF (W)	Draw	BK Hacken (W) II
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (W) (rating 1504 vs 1418).
H2H favours Trelleborgs FF (W): 5-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF (W)	BK Hacken (W) II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.7	1.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +10’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF (W) 5–0–0 BK Hacken (W) II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Sweden Elitettan	BK Hacken (W) II	2-4 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF (W)
20/09/25 Sweden Elitettan	BK Hacken (W) II	0-4 HT 0-0	Trelleborgs FF (W)
12/04/25 Sweden Elitettan	Trelleborgs FF (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	BK Hacken (W) II
09/09/23 Sweden Elitettan	BK Hacken (W) II	1-2 HT 1-1	Trelleborgs FF (W)
25/06/23 Sweden Elitettan	Trelleborgs FF (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	BK Hacken (W) II

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Goteborg (W)	18	12	5	1	48	17	41
2	Elfsborg (W)	18	12	5	1	35	9	41
3	Linköpings FC (W)	18	12	3	3	36	23	39
4	KIF Orebro (W)	18	12	2	4	36	23	38
5	Umea IK (W)	18	8	4	6	28	22	28
6	Husqvarna FF (W)	18	7	4	7	26	28	25
7	Trelleborgs FF (W)	17	7	4	6	25	27	25
8	Orebro SK (W)	17	5	5	7	20	25	20
9	Jitex BK (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
10	Enskede IK (W)	18	5	4	9	25	31	19
11	Alingsås IF (W)	18	4	6	8	16	25	18
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	17	3	4	10	19	31	13
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	17	2	4	11	19	46	10
14	BK Hacken (W) II	18	2	1	15	18	38	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF (W)	BK Hacken (W) II
Sandvikens IF (W)	0-0 D	3-2 W
KIF Orebro (W)	2-2 D	0-3 L
Gamla Upsala SK (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Elfsborg (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Linköpings FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trelleborgs FF (W)

WLDDDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
05/09	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
16/08	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-3	4-4	–	–	D
01/08	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
21/06	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-3	1-3	3	3	L
14/06	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

BK Hacken (W) II

LLDLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
05/09	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	1	1	W
28/08	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	7	1	L
22/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
07/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
02/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-1	3-4	4	0	L
25/07	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
17/06	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
14/06	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs BK Hacken (W) II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF (W) 64%, draw 20%, BK Hacken (W) II 16%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs BK Hacken (W) II?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Trelleborgs FF (W) 2.28 · BK Hacken (W) II 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs BK Hacken (W) II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.