Football · Sweden Elitettan · 17/10, 12:00

Prediction: Linköpings FC (W) vs Umea IK (W)

Team pages: Linköpings FC (W) · Umea IK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Linköpings FC (W)1.93

Umea IK (W)1.46

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Linköpings FC (W) Draw Umea IK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Linköpings FC (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLWLL

Umea IK (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWWWW

Head-to-head

Linköpings FC (W) 5–1 Umea IK (W) (6 last)

Umea IK (W)1-2Linköpings FC (W)
Linköpings FC (W)7-0Umea IK (W)
Umea IK (W)0-3Linköpings FC (W)
Linköpings FC (W)3-0Umea IK (W)
Umea IK (W)3-2Linköpings FC (W)
Umea IK (W)0-4Linköpings FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Linköpings FC (W) 1510 · Umea IK (W) 1594

	Linköpings FC (W)	Draw	Umea IK (W)
Our model	48%	24%	28%
Market	47%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Umea IK (W) (rating 1510 vs 1594).
H2H favours Linköpings FC (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Linköpings FC (W)	Umea IK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.9	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0.1	– / –

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.70

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:35 +5’	1.90	3.70	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Linköpings FC (W) 5–0–1 Umea IK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden Elitettan	Umea IK (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Linköpings FC (W)
19/06/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Linköpings FC (W)	7-0 HT 3-0	Umea IK (W)
08/06/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Umea IK (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Linköpings FC (W)
05/09/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Linköpings FC (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Umea IK (W)
24/07/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Umea IK (W)	3-2 HT 0-1	Linköpings FC (W)
07/09/16 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Umea IK (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Linköpings FC (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	21	14	6	1	41	12	48
2	KIF Orebro (W)	21	15	2	4	50	25	47
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	20	12	6	2	50	23	42
4	Linköpings FC (W)	21	13	3	5	39	28	42
5	Umea IK (W)	20	10	4	6	35	24	34
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	21	9	5	7	30	31	32
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	20	8	4	8	28	30	28
8	Jitex BK (W)	21	7	6	8	28	30	27
9	Orebro SK (W)	21	7	5	9	26	32	26
10	Enskede IK (W)	21	6	4	11	29	39	22
11	Alingsås IF (W)	20	4	7	9	17	27	19
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	21	4	5	12	22	35	17
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	21	2	5	14	20	56	11
14	BK Hacken (W) II	21	2	2	17	22	45	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Linköpings FC (W)	Umea IK (W)
Jitex BK (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Husqvarna FF (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Elfsborg (W)	2-3 L	1-1 D
IFK Goteborg (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Enskede IK (W)	2-1 W	5-1 W
BK Hacken (W) II	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Umea IK (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linköpings FC (W)

LWWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-2	9	2	L
25/09	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
18/09	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-1	13	0	W
12/09	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
23/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	5	0	W
15/08	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
08/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	11	0	W
31/07	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-2	2-4	2	1	L

Umea IK (W)

DWWWLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linköpings FC (W) vs Umea IK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Linköpings FC (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Linköpings FC (W) 48%, draw 24%, Umea IK (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Linköpings FC (W) vs Umea IK (W)?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Linköpings FC (W) 1.93 · Umea IK (W) 1.46), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Linköpings FC (W) vs Umea IK (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.