Football · Sweden Elitettan · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Alingsås IF (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)

Team pages: Alingsås IF (W) · KIF Orebro (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Alingsås IF (W)0.97

KIF Orebro (W)1.98

1X2

18% 21% 61%

Alingsås IF (W) Draw KIF Orebro (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Alingsås IF (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWDLLW

KIF Orebro (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLWWWW

Head-to-head

Alingsås IF (W) 0–1 KIF Orebro (W) (1 last)

KIF Orebro (W)2-0Alingsås IF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alingsås IF (W) 1463 · KIF Orebro (W) 1559

	Alingsås IF (W)	Draw	KIF Orebro (W)
Our model	17%	23%	60%
Market	19%	19%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KIF Orebro (W) (rating 1463 vs 1559).
High corners: 11 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alingsås IF (W)	KIF Orebro (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	2.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.75

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.88

2 (-1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.67 ★
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:17 +7’	4.75	4.75	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:01 +46’	5.67	4.33	1.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alingsås IF (W) 0–0–1 KIF Orebro (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden Elitettan	KIF Orebro (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Alingsås IF (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	22	15	6	1	43	12	51
2	KIF Orebro (W)	22	16	2	4	57	27	50
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	22	14	6	2	56	24	48
4	Linköpings FC (W)	22	13	4	5	39	28	43
5	Umea IK (W)	22	11	5	6	37	24	38
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	22	9	5	8	31	34	32
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	22	9	4	9	31	33	31
8	Jitex BK (W)	22	7	6	9	30	37	27
9	Orebro SK (W)	22	7	5	10	26	36	26
10	Enskede IK (W)	22	7	4	11	32	40	25
11	Alingsås IF (W)	22	5	7	10	20	29	22
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	22	4	5	13	22	37	17
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	22	2	5	15	21	59	11
14	BK Hacken (W) II	22	2	2	18	22	47	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alingsås IF (W)	KIF Orebro (W)
IFK Goteborg (W)	1-2 L	5-1 W
Trelleborgs FF (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Enskede IK (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Orebro SK (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Jitex BK (W)	2-1 W	7-2 W
Husqvarna FF (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KIF Orebro (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alingsås IF (W)

DLWDLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
04/10	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
26/09	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
20/09	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-1	10	1	D
12/09	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
05/09	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-1	1	0	W
15/08	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	2-2	–	–	D

KIF Orebro (W)

LWWWDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	4-1	7-2	–	–	W
03/10	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
26/09	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
19/09	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	4-1	5-1	8	1	W
12/09	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
08/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alingsås IF (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KIF Orebro (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Alingsås IF (W) 18%, draw 21%, KIF Orebro (W) 61%.

How many goals are expected in Alingsås IF (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Alingsås IF (W) 0.97 · KIF Orebro (W) 1.98), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alingsås IF (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.